Friday College Football Sharp Report: ECU-Cincinnati and Fresno State-UNLV

November 10, 2022 10:55 PM
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Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 6:30 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a comprehensive breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for tonight's College Football action...

 

8 p.m. ET: East Carolina at Cincinnati (-5, 52)

East Carolina (6-3) has won three straight games and just upset BYU 27-24, winning outright as 3-point road dogs. On the flip side, Cincinnati (7-2) is coming off a 20-10 win over Navy but failed to cover as 18.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Cincinnati listed as a 6-point home favorite. The public is laying the points with the Bearcats at home. However, despite receiving 64% of bets, Cincinnati has fallen from -6 to -5. Some shops are even touching -4.5. This signals sharp reverse line movement on East Carolina, with pros grabbing the points with the road dog. East Carolina also holds a rest advantage as they are coming off a bye while Cincinnati played last week. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 53.5 to 52. The forecast calls for low 50s with 10-15 MPH winds. Both teams are 5-4 to the under this season. 

 

10:30 p.m. ET: Fresno State (-9.5, 60.5) at UNLV

Fresno State (5-4) started the season 1-4 but has since won four straight games. Fresno State just crushed Hawaii 55-13, easily covering as 27.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, UNLV (4-5) has gone in the opposite direction, starting the season 4-1 but has since lost four straight. UNLV just fell to San Diego State 14-10 but covered as 5-point road dogs. This line opened with Fresno State listed as an 8.5-point road favorite. We've seen Fresno State move from -8.5 to -9.5, signaling respected action in their favor. Fresno State is receiving 75% of bets and 90% of money, indicating both "Pro and Joe" support. We could be looking at a shootout in this one. The total opened at 57 and has been steamed up to 60.5. The over is receiving only 32% of bets but 52% of money, evidence of sharp contrarian bet discrepancy. This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, home of the Raiders. The over is 4-1 in Fresno State's last five games. 

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The Lombardi Line: Pay attention to the offseason moves in baseball, futures prices are changing. As teams build their roster through free agency and trades, monitor the futures markets.View more tips

The Greg Peterson Experience: Fade bad NFL teams on lookahead lines, because they get steamed after another bad performance. View more tips

 

PRO PICKS

Paul Howard: Seahawks Win NFC West +350. View more picks

Gill Alexander: Bengals (-6) vs. Browns. View more picks

 

 

 

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