Friday College Basketball Sharp Report

illinois
Happy Friday! Conference Tournament week continues with roughly 30 College Basketball games to choose from today, plus 10 NBA games and 4 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 2:40 p.m. ET. I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET and I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.
 
In the meantime, let's discuss several College Basketball games receiving sharp action tonight...
 
 
11:30 a.m. ET: Indiana vs Illinois
 
This Big Ten Conference Tournament Quarterfinal is the first game of the day. Indiana (19-12 SU, 17-14 ATS) just upset Michigan 74-69 yesterday, winning outright as 3-point dogs. Meanwhile, Illinois (22-8 SU, 13-17 ATS) is ranked 16th and making their conference tournament debut after receiving a bye. This line opened with Illinois listed as a 3.5-point neutral site favorite. Sharps seem to think that the opening line was a bit low, steaming Illinois up from -3.5 to -5. Illinois holds the edge on offense (76 PPG vs 71 PPG) and in the rebounding department (39 RPG vs 36 RPG). Illinois is 15-5 in conference play while Indiana is 9-11. Ken Pom has Illinois winning this game by four points (70-66). He has Illinois ranked 16th and Indiana 43rd. Illinois crushed Indiana 74-57 back on February 5th, the lone matchup between the two teams this season. Illinois has value as a buy-low "bad" ATS team (13-17) against a sell-high "good" ATS team (17-14). Pros have also hit this under, dropping the total from 137.5 to 136.5. 
 
 
6:30 p.m. ET: Creighton vs Providence
 
This is the Big East semifinals. Both teams played yesterday, Creighton (21-10 SU, 15-14-2 ATS) is unranked and just upset Marquette 74-63, winning outright as 3-point dogs. On the flip side, Providence (25-4 SU, 17-12 ATS) is ranked 11th and just edged Butler 65-61 but failed to cover as 7.5-point favorites. This line opened with Providence listed as a 3.5-point neutral site favorite. The public is happy to lay the short number with Providence, who has a far better record and ranking. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the line fall from 3.5 to 3, signaling pro money grabbing Creighton plus the points. Ken Pom has Providence winning by two points (67-65), which provides actionable value on Creighton at the current number. Providence beat Creighton 72-51 back on February 26th. 
 
 
7:30 p.m. ET: Weber State vs Montana State
 
This Big Sky semifinal matchup may not be generating much interest with the betting public. But wiseguys have taken note. Weber State (21-11 SU, 14-17 ATS) just beat Montana 68-56 yesterday, easily covering as 3.5-point favorites. Similarly, Montana State (25-7 SU, 16-14-1 ATS) just crushed Sacramento State 83-61, covering as 10-point favorites. This line opened with Montana State listed as a short 1.5-point neutral site favorite. Respected money has laid the chalk with Montana State, driving the Bobcats up from  -1.5 to -2. Montana State holds an edge in rebounding (36 RPG vs 32 RPG). Ken Pom has Montana State winning by three points (74-71). He has Montana State ranked 135th and Weber State 173rd. These teams split in the regular season, with Weber State winning the first game 85-75 and then Montana State taking the rematch 78-57. Montana State is -130 on the moneyline. 
back to news

Subscriber Only News  Vsin Exclusive

View All

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

College Lines Revealed: Don't be afraid to keep betting on undervalued teams until the market adjusts. Ex: Kansas, UNLV

The Lombardi Line: In the 48 NFL games played so far this season, 18 have been decided by 3 points or fewer. Key numbers are crucial when betting pro football.

View tips for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Amal Shah: Iowa (+10) vs. Michigan

Mitch Moss: Washington (-1) at UCLA

View new sortable Picks at a Glance page for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Screen_Shot_2022-09-26_at_9.44.58_PM

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

Close