Friday CFP Semifinals Sharp Report

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College Football Bowl Game dogs went 3-1 ATS on Thursday, including a pair of outright wins. South Carolina ( 13) upset North Carolina 38-21 and Purdue ( 7.5) outlatest Tennessee 48-45. Over/Unders split 2-2 on the day. 

Now it's New Years Eve, where bettors have four more Bowl Games to get down on, including the two CFP matchups. Thursday also features 10 NBA games, 4 NHL games and 10 College Basketball games. For an updated breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then I'll be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. 

Now let's discuss where the money is flowing for today's big CFP Semifinals...

 

3:30 p.m. ET: Cincinnati vs Alabama

This is the CFP semifinals at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic. It will be played at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys. Cincinnati (13-0 SU, 8-5 ATS) is undefeated and ranked 4th overall. The Bearcats just beat Houston 35-20 in the AAC Championship game, covering as 10.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Alabama (12-1 SU, 7-6 ATS) is ranked 1st and just upset Georgia 41-24 to win the SEC championship, winning outright as 6-point dogs. This line opened with Alabama listed as a 13-point favorite. We've seen Alabama rise from -13 to -13.5, signaling liability in their favor. Some shops are hinting at a move to -14. At BetMGM, Alabama is receiving 75% of bets but 92% of money, indicating both public and big money support. We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total from 58.5 to 57.5. 

 

7:30 p.m. ET: Georgia vs Michigan

This CFP Semifinal is the Capital One Orange Bowl. It will be played at Hard Rock Stadium, home of the Miami Dolphins. Georgia (12-1 SU, 8-5 ATS) is ranked 3rd and just lost the SEC Championship game to Alabama 41-24, losing outright as 6-point favorites. On the flip side, Michigan (12-1 SU, 11-2 ATS) is ranked 2nd and just crushed Iowa 42-3 in the Big Ten Championship game, easily covering as 12-point favorites. This line opened with Georgia listed as a 7.5-point favorite. We've seen this line tick up to 8 briefly before falling back down to 7.5. At BetMGM, Michigan is receiving 74% of bets and 68% of dollars. Michigan has value as a dog of 7 points or more in a low total game. We've also seen some respected money hit the over, driving the total up from 43.5 to 45.5. 

 

Here are the odds to win the CFP Championship at BetMGM

Alabama  120

Georgia  135

Michigan  750

Cincinnati  1400

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