Friday CFB Sharp Report

utah

 

Happy Friday! Today bettors have a loaded betting menu to choose from including 9 NBA games, 5 NHL games and a pair of College Football games.

For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

Two quick betting notes to share...

NBA Unders: They went 4-1 on Thursday night. Unders are now 77-46 (63%) on the season. This has been in large part due to the NBA's crackdown on "abnormal" basketball movements, which has led to massive reduction in fouls and free throws. Books have adjusted their totals downward, but unders still keep cashing. 

NHL Favorites: They went 8-1 on Thursday night. Favorites are now 97-59 (62%) on the season. Home favorites -175 or more are 27-10 (73%). Big favorites -200 or more are 24-4 (86%). Home favorites off a win against an opponent off al loss are 22-5 (82%). Home teams have an advantage in hockey because they get the last change in terms of which lines are on the ice. 

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for tonight's two College Football matchups...

 
7:30 p.m. ET: Virginia Tech at Boston College
 
This ACC clash features a pair of 4-4 teams looking to get above .500. Virginia Tech (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) just took down Georgia Tech 26-17 last week, winning outright as 3.5-point road dogs. This win snapped a three-game losing skid for Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, Boston College (4-4 SU. 4-4 ATS) is mired in a tailspin. After starting the season 4-0, the Eagles have now lost four straight, most recently falling to Syracuse 21-6, failing to cover as 6.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Virginia Tech listed as a 3-point road favorite. The public is happy to lay the points with the Hokies and bet against tanking Boston College. Every time this lopsided betting pushed the line to 3.5, we saw sharp buyback on BC plus the hook, bringing the line back down to 3. This signals some reverse line movement and line freeze liability on the Eagles, who also have value as a contrarian home dog in a heavily bet game. Conference home dogs that see the line stay the same or move in their favor are 27-23 ATS (54%) this season. The Eagles will be wearing their "Red Bandana" uniforms to honor Welles Crowther, who died saving others in the 9/11 attacks. We've also seen some over money push this total up from 46.5 to 47.5. Both teams are 6-2 to the under this season. 
 
 
10:30 p.m. ET: Utah at Stanford
 
These Pac 12 rivals are trending in opposite directions. Utah (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) has won four of their last five games and just took down UCLA 44-24, easily covering as 6.5-point home favorites. On the flip side. Stanford (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) has lost three straight and just fell to Washington 20-13, losing outright as 2.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Utah listed as a 6-point road favorite. Wiseguys aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're laying the chalk with red-hot Utah, steaming the Utes up from -6 to -9. One big reason for the line move: Stanford QB Tanner McKee is questionable with an undisclosed injury. Stanford WR Elijah Higgins could also miss this game due to injury. Both teams are giving up roughly 26 PPG. The difference comes on offense, where Utah is averaging 33.4 PPG compared to Stanford's 24.9 PPG. Respected money has also hit the over, driving the total up from 52 to 54. Utah is 6-2 to the over this season. Stanford is 5-3 to the under. 
 
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