Friday CFB Sharp Report


Happy Friday! Today bettors have a loaded slate to get down on, including several College Football Conference Championship games, 9 NBA games, 5 NHL games and 20 college basketball games. 

For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for a pair of College Football games tonight...


7 p.m. ET: Western Kentucky vs UTSA

This is the Conference USA Championship game. Western Kentucky (8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS) started just 1-4 but has since won seven straight. The Hilltoppers just crushed Marshall 53-21, easily covering as 1-point road favorites. Meanwhile, UTSA (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) saw their undefeated season end last week, falling to North Texas 45-23 as 8.5-point road favorites. This line opened at roughly a pick'em. Some shops opened UTSA as a slight favorite. Either way, we've seen an overload of respected money pound Western Kentucky, flipping the Hilltoppers to -3.5. If you want to follow the line move but are wary of laying the spread since it's moved, Western Kentucky is -160 on the moneyline. The Hilltoppers' advantage comes on offense. They are averaging 43.3 PPG on the season, while UTSA is averaging 36.9 PPG. The total opened at a high 72 and has been bet up to 72.5 or 73. The game will be played indoors at the Alamodome. These teams met on October 9 and UTSA won 52-46. 


8 p.m. ET: Oregon vs Utah

This PAC 12 Championship is the most heavily bet game of the night. It will take place at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, home of the Raiders. Oregon (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS) is ranked 10th and just beat Oregon State 38-29, covering as 7.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Utah (9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS) is ranked 17th and has won five straight, most recently edging Colorado 28-13 but failing to cover as 24-point home favorites. This line opened with Utah listed as a 3-point neutral site favorite. The public is leaning Utah because they remember the Utes crushing the Ducks 38-7 just two weeks ago, easily winning outright as 3-point home dogs. However, despite this public Utah betting we've seen the line dip from 3 to 2.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the Ducks in a revenge game. We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total from 60 to 58. Both teams average more than 200 rushing yards per game. Historically, teams who run the ball well chew up the clock and benefit the under. 

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