Friday CFB Sharp Report

cincy

Happy Friday! Today bettors have a loaded betting menu to choose from including 11 NBA games, 5 NHL games, 80 College Basketball games and a pair of College Football games.

For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for tonight's two College Football matchups...

 

6 p.m. ET: Cincinnati at South Florida

This AAC showdown features two conference opponents at opposite ends of the won-loss spectrum. Cincinnati (9-0) is undefeated and ranked 5th overall in the country. Cincinnati just edged Tulsa 28-20, although the Bearcats failed to cover as 22.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, South Florida (2-7) is unranked and has two in a row. The Bulls are just 1-5 over their last six games, most recently falling to Houston 54-42 but covering as 13.5-point home dogs. This line opened with Cincinnati listed as a 23.5-point road favorite. The public expects a blowout and isn't scared off by the big chalk number for Cincinnati. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the line fall from Cincinnati -23.5 to -23. This signals some reverse line movement on home dog South Florida. Unranked home dogs against ranked opponents are 32-24 ATS (57%) this season. Home conference dogs that see the line stay the same or move in their favor are 37-29 ATS (56%). 

 

9 p.m. ET: Wyoming at Boise State

This late night Mountain West clash features two teams with identical records. Wyoming (5-4 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) started the season 4-0 but then lost four straight until last week, when Wyoming beat Colorado State 31-17 as 3-point home dogs. Meanwhile, Boise State (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS) has won two in a row and three of their last four, including a 40-14 win over Fresno State last week, winning outright as 4.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Boise State listed as a 14-point home favorite. Respected money seems to be leaning with Wyoming as we've seen the line fall from 14 to 13.5. Wyoming has buy-low value as a bad ATS team (2-6-1) against a sell-high good ATS team (6-3). We've also seen some over money show up, raising the total from 47.5 to 48.5.

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