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Five Week 13 NFL games sharps have already bet

December 4, 2021 03:48 PM

NFL underdogs continued to grind out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 ATS. Dogs are now 101-77 ATS (57 percent) on the season. A $100 bettor taking every dog would be up roughly $1,700 at this point. Road dogs have been particularly profitable, going 64-40 ATS (62 percent). If they're + 7 or less, road dogs improve to 53-22 ATS (71 percent). Unders also eked out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 to improve to 102-77 (57 percent) overall. Nonconference Unders are a sparkling 38-20 (66 percent) and windy Unders 10 mph or more are 35-20 (64 percent).

Now, let's discuss five NFL Week 13 games receiving big money from respected bettors.


This Thursday night matchup features two teams looking to snap losing streaks. The Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) have dropped two in a row and three of their last four, most recently falling to the Raiders 36-33 on Thanksgiving as 7-point home favorites. The Saints (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) have lost four straight and just got crushed by the Bills 31-6, failing to cover as 7-point home dogs. This line opened with Dallas as a 5.5-point road favorite. We've seen big money jump on the Saints, dropping the line from 5.5 to 4.5. The major reason for the line move is a COVID-19 situation with the Cowboys, who will be without several players and coaches, including head coach Mike McCarthy. Taysom Hill is expected to start at quarterback for New Orleans. Dogs off a 20-plus-point blowout loss are 14-9 ATS (61 percent) this season. Conference dogs + 7 or less are 57-32 ATS (64 percent). The Saints are a teaser candidate as well (+ 4.5 to + 10.5), which goes through multiple key numbers.

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