NFL underdogs continued to grind out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 ATS. Dogs are now 101-77 ATS (57 percent) on the season. A $100 bettor taking every dog would be up roughly $1,700 at this point. Road dogs have been particularly profitable, going 64-40 ATS (62 percent). If they're + 7 or less, road dogs improve to 53-22 ATS (71 percent). Unders also eked out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 to improve to 102-77 (57 percent) overall. Nonconference Unders are a sparkling 38-20 (66 percent) and windy Unders 10 mph or more are 35-20 (64 percent).
Now, let's discuss five NFL Week 13 games receiving big money from respected bettors.
DALLAS COWBOYS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
This Thursday night matchup features two teams looking to snap losing streaks. The Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) have dropped two in a row and three of their last four, most recently falling to the Raiders 36-33 on Thanksgiving as 7-point home favorites. The Saints (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) have lost four straight and just got crushed by the Bills 31-6, failing to cover as 7-point home dogs. This line opened with Dallas as a 5.5-point road favorite. We've seen big money jump on the Saints, dropping the line from 5.5 to 4.5. The major reason for the line move is a COVID-19 situation with the Cowboys, who will be without several players and coaches, including head coach Mike McCarthy. Taysom Hill is expected to start at quarterback for New Orleans. Dogs off a 20-plus-point blowout loss are 14-9 ATS (61 percent) this season. Conference dogs + 7 or less are 57-32 ATS (64 percent). The Saints are a teaser candidate as well (+ 4.5 to + 10.5), which goes through multiple key numbers.