NFL favorites posted their first winning week in over a month in Week 11, eking out an 8-7 ATS showing. Underdogs still lead on the season with an impressive 93-70 ATS (57 percent) record. Road dogs (62-36 ATS, 63 percent) have been particularly profitable, with road dogs + 7 or less (51-19 ATS, 73 percent) the No. 1 dog edge overall.
Unders went 10-5 in Week 11 and are now 20-9 over the past two weeks. Unders are 94-70 (57 percent) overall. The two best Under systems? Nonconference Unders are 36-17 (68 percent) and windy Unders 10 mph or more are 35-16 (69 percent). Another angle to target is late-season divisional Unders. In Week 11 or later, this spot is roughly 57 percent the past decade. With weather getting worse and divisional opponents facing each other for the second time, this leads to more familiarity and fewer surprises on offense.
Let's discuss five Week 12 games garnering respected money.