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Favorites stop underdog run in NFL Week 7

Dave Tuley
VSiN.com senior reporter

October 23, 2017 10:49 PM

LAS VEGAS–The Eagles improved to an NFL-best 6-1 with a 34-24 win over the Redskins on Monday Night Football to close out Week 7 with favorites going 12-3 SU & 9-4-2 against the closing lines here in Vegas.

On the year, underdogs still lead 57-45-3 ATS (55.9%). The Redskins were 5.5-point underdogs.

Unders were also dominant in Week 7. On Sunday, they were 6-2 in the early games, 2-2 in the afternoon and the Sunday night under improved unders to 9-4 on the day. The Thursday night game went over as did the Monday nighter, so unders were 9-6 for the week. On the season, unders lead 54-50-2 (51.9%).

The big run of favorites would usually spell disaster for sports books as the public usually love to play favorites. But do you remember how underdogs went 11-3 ATS last weekend? Of course you do, and so did a lot of bettors this week as they loaded up on the underdogs with nearly every line during the week being bet toward the dog.

The Westgate SuperContest (which is usually a pretty good barometer of the overall betting public) had a rare four underdogs in its Top 5 Consensus plays that went 0-5. The top 11 most selected teams all lost.

After the Raiders’ wild 31-30 upset of the Chiefs on Thursday night football as 3-point home underdogs, the only dogs to win outright on Sunday were the Bears in their 17-3 win over the Panthers as 3-point dogs and the Chargers in their 21-0 win over the Broncos as 1-point home dogs (note: if you follow NFL lines at all, you probably know that the Chargers actually opened as 1.5-point home favorites over the Broncos, so you could argue that faves were actually 12-1 SU on Sunday and 12-1 including the Thursday night game).

In Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET kickoffs, favorites were 7-1 SU & 4-2-2 ATS with the aforementioned Bears being the only dogs winning outright. The Browns also covered as 6-point home dogs in their 12-9 overtime loss to the Titans while the two pushes were the Dolphins beating the Jets 31-28 as 3-point home favorites and the Bills beating the Buccaneers 30-27 as 3-point home faves. The favorites that won and covered were the Jaguars in their 27-0 rout of the Colts as 3-point road favorites, Vikings in their 24-16 win over the Ravens as 5-point home faves, Saints in their 26-17 win over the Packers after closing as 4-point road favorites and the Rams in their 33-0 rout of the Cardinals as 3-point neutral-site faves in London.

In the 4:05 and 4:25 p.m. ET kickoffs, favorites went 3-1 SU & ATS with the Chargers’ upset being the only dog to cover as the Cowboys routed the 49ers 40-10 as 6.5-point road faves, the Seahawks beat the Giants 24-7 as 4-point road faves and the Steelers beat the Bengals 29-14 as 4.5-point home faves.

 

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