Even from across the pond, Pats look like a good bet

By Brent Musburger  (VSiN managing editor) 

October 13, 2018 01:05 AM


There’s no place like home across the pond. The Raiders checked into their hotel Friday afternoon. It’s only a few steps from Wembley Stadium, where they will play Seattle on Sunday night local time. The team could walk to the game, but the Raiders are going to ride buses, because they’re flying right back to Oakland afterward, and for good reason. If the head winds are as strong as the tail winds were Thursday night, the flight will last 11 hours.

No time for sightseeing, but that didn’t stop your intrepid reporter from strolling around the stadium that Jaguar owner Shad Khan hopes to buy so that he can play half of his team’s eight home games here in Europe. That, of course, depends on Khan getting a sweet deal to buy the stadium – and then winning a favorable tax agreement with the English authorities.

Those same authorities have had the door wide open for bettors. Sports gambling is and has been legal in England for decades, and it’s everywhere. There’s even a bet shop inside Wembley that will be closed during NFL games as a concession to the league.

But within a mile radius of the stadium there are the bet shops of William Hill, Ladbrokes and Paddy Power. All three book the NFL. Surprisingly, William Hill also books college football, which does not have much of a following over here. That shop had something that is not legal in Nevada. You walk up to a kiosk, study the menu, put your pounds in the machine, and out pops a ticket.

For Sunday’s game, money-line betting is a more preferred way to bet here in England, so that is always listed first. The Seahawks are a 5-7 favorite, and the Raiders weigh in at 6-5. That’s a 20-cent straddle.

If you want the good old-fashioned point spread, it breaks down to the Seahawks –2½, about the same as it has been back in Las Vegas. The over-under here on Sunday’s game is 48 points – 10-11 both ways. There are also various props on the game. The Raiders are 2-1 to score the game’s first touchdown; the Seahawks 13-8. The Raiders’ team total is 23½ compared with the Seahawks 26½.

The nice lady behind the counter at William Hill said that 95 percent of the betting on the NFL in England takes place Sunday morning. I passed, because I’m leaving too early Monday to cash my tickets.

I won’t be back home nearly in time to watch Sunday night’s game back there, but I’m putting my four-star rating on the Patriots –3½ against Kansas City. Keep in mind that this could determine home field in a possible rematch for the AFC Championship. Patrick Mahomes appears to be the real deal. But remember, the Jaguars defense intercepted him twice and didn’t allow him to throw a touchdown pass.

This is a game where you have to respect coach Bill Belichick. He is 3-0 ATS at home this season and 11-3 vs. the number the last 14 at Foxboro. This should blossom into a great fans’ game with a lot of scoring. If you bet it to go over 59½, you can sit back, relax and be a fan watching the points pile up. Kansas City is averaging 35 and allowing nearly 26. The Patriots are scoring almost 27 and allowing close to 22. That’s a tough number to go over, but these are two terrific offenses.

I’ll be glad to stick around here Sunday night to enjoy the late games on pub TV, but I admit that a 1:20 a.m. kickoff for the Patriots and Chiefs will be bit of a challenge.

back to news



View All
  • Watch bombers in Palm Springs event

    Watch bombers in Palm Springs event

    Kevin Na shot 61-65 on the weekend to win the Sony Open in Hawaii at as high as 80-1 odds. Na (40-1) will attempt to win in back-to-back weeks this week...
  • Schedule critical in CBB futures bets

    Schedule critical in CBB futures bets

    Last week we discussed the importance of taking a positive approach to college basketball futures betting. That is, focus on playing plus numbers instead...
  • First impressions as hockey returns

    First impressions as hockey returns

    It’s great to have hockey back, but bettors must temper their expectations and trust their preseason projections. Therefore, this is a great time...
  • Tuley's Takes on Championship Sunday

    Tuley's Takes on Championship Sunday

    The NFL’s divisional playoff round was a mixed bag for us here at the Tuley’s Takes home office, though I spent Saturday at Circa with VSiN...
  • Injuries dog Chiefs, but Packers on roll

    Injuries dog Chiefs, but Packers on roll

    And then there were four. We’re looking forward to what is maybe the single best day on the NFL calendar: Championship Sunday. The matchups are...
  • Championship Sunday: Sifting recent trends

    Championship Sunday: Sifting recent trends

    For as different as this NFL season has been due to the impact of COVID-19, the first two weeks of the playoffs have generally followed the trends of...
  • How to gain edge betting CBB rematches

    How to gain edge betting CBB rematches

    (To view the charts with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) In a typical college basketball season, and to a lesser degree this season,...
  • Mahomes mystery puts oddsmakers in bind

    Mahomes mystery puts oddsmakers in bind

    It’s generally easy for oddsmakers to post lines on most NFL games. The numbers are typically airtight, unlike in college football. A quarterback...
  • Championship Sunday capsules

    Championship Sunday capsules

    NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Buccaneers at Packers (3:05 p.m. ET Sunday) The Packers opened as consensus four-point home favorites against the...
  • With Pacers surging, Clippers on long haul

    With Pacers surging, Clippers on long haul

    Another week gone, and bettors have yet to see any NBA team separate itself from the pack. The Los Angeles Lakers seem like the surest thing on the board,...
  • 10 months in making, going all in on Bucs

    10 months in making, going all in on Bucs

    I made some bets on the Buccaneers last March that are now very much alive. These were placed the night before Tom Brady announced where he was signing....
  • Derby intrigue builds for Midnight Bourbon

    Derby intrigue builds for Midnight Bourbon

    Horses are not the only animals active during prep season for the Kentucky Derby. Owners and trainers also play a game of cat and mouse. Some of this...

Google Play
App Store