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Effect of promoting college coaches

November 2, 2021 07:14 PM
Heading into what everybody hopes will be a return to normalcy in college basketball, bettors are faced with the challenge of interpreting the impact of 57 head-coaching changes. Compare this massive number with last year’s 21, and you immediately feel the gravity of the situation.
All of the COVID-19 issues that affected college basketball last season had a great deal to do with the low number of coaching changes, as programs didn’t want to introduce another major variable. But that doesn’t make it any easier for bettors to get on top of this year’s challenge.
I’ve grouped the changes into several defining traits. For this piece, I will be sharing Group 1, detailing the situations in which 11 former assistant coaches at a school were promoted this season to the top job. 
The rest of the 46 coaching change breakdowns can be found in the upcoming VSiN College Basketball Betting Guide, due out next week! Make sure you are lined up to receive your digital copy the moment it’s released.
Group 1: Former assistant coaches promoted at their school
The assumption with this group is that the coaching change will be universally accepted by players and fans and that there will be very little difference in the pace at which the team plays.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN: Brette Tanner (assistant last 8 years)
Returning starters (percent mins): 3 (62 percent)
Steve's expectation in 2021-22: ACU is coming off a strong three-year run of 59-23 under Joe Golding, and Tanner has been around for all of that and more. Last season was a big power rating jump, however, and I don’t see the Wildcats getting back to that level this season.
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