Early Week 8 Sharp Report for Colts-Lions, Raiders-Browns and Steelers-Ravens

October 26, 2020 11:35 PM

The Rams took care of business on Monday Night Football, beating the Bears 24-10 and covering the spread as 6.5-point home favorites. Bets were virtually split down the middle for this one and the public didn't know who to take. However, in the final hour before kickoff we saw the line jump from Rams -6 to -6.5. This late flood of money proved telling as Los Angeles rolled from start to finish and won by 14-points. Late moves, especially on game-day and in the final hours leading up to game-time, are incredibly meaningful because they represent big money coming in when limits are high and books take in huge bets from respected players.

Sharps were able to cash the under. The total opened at 47 and got bet down to 44. It fell from 45 to 44 in the last hour before kickoff. Primetime unders are now 16-6 on the season (73%).

Now we turn our attention to Tuesday, which is headlined by Game 6 of the World Series.

For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at noon ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3-5 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, here are some NFL Week 8 games already attracting sharp action.

Sunday 1 p.m. ET: Indianapolis Colts at Detroit Lions

This non-conference showdown features two teams coming off wins looking to make a playoff push. The Colts (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) are rested and coming off a bye, most recently beating the Bengals 31-27 but failing to cover as 7.5-point home favorites. The Lions (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) are riding a two-game winning streak and just beat the Falcons 23-22 as 1-point road dogs. This line opened with Indianapolis listed as a 3-point road favorite. Tickets are split down the middle and the public doesn't know who to back. However, we've seen this line either stay at 3 or drop to 2.5 depending on the shop. This signals some respected money hitting the Lions at the key number of + 3. Detroit has value as a short home dog. Pro money has also hit the under, dropping the total from 51 to 50.

Sunday 1 p.m. ET: Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns

These two AFC foes are trending in opposite directions, which creates a buy low, sell high opportunity for value-driven bettors. The Raiders (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) have lost three of their last four games, most recently falling to the Bucs 45-20 as 4-point home dogs. On the flip side, the Browns have won five of their last six games and just beat the Bengals 37-34, although they failed to cover as 4-point road favorites. This line opened with Cleveland listed as a 3-point home favorite. Pro bettors have jumped on the Raiders at the key number of + 3, causing this line to fall down to 2.5. The Raiders have value as a short road dog, a road dog with a line move in their favor and a dog off a 20+  point blowout loss. The Raiders are 6-0 to the over and the Browns are 5-2 to the over. The public sees an auto-bet over, but respected money sees a bit of an inflated total. Respected money has hit the under, dropping the total from 55.5 to 53.5. Keep an eye on the weather at the Dawg Pound. We could be looking at 15-20 MPH winds, which would benefit the under.

Sunday 1 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

This AFC North showdown features a pair of bitter rivals with Super Bowl aspirations. This will also be one of the most anticipated and heavily bet games on Sunday. The Steelers (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) are the only undefeated team left in the NFL and just beat the Titans 27-24, winning outright as 1-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Ravens (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) are riding a three-game winning streak, having just beat the Eagles 30-28 their last time out, although Baltimore failed to cover as a 10-point road favorite. The Ravens will also enjoy a big rest advantage here as they are coming off a bye week. This line opened with Baltimore listed as a 5.5-point home favorite. Pros and Joes are both rushing to the window to grab the points with the streaking Steelers. This lopsided action has forced oddsmakers to adjust the line down from Ravens -5.5 to -3.5. Pittsburgh has value as a road divisional dog, a road team with a line move in their favor and a short road dog + 6 or less. We've also seen a steady stream of under money, dropping the total from 49 to 47. Weather could be an issue as the forecast calls for 10 MPH winds.

More Week 8 Line Moves

Titans -4 to -5.5 at Bengals

Jets + 21 to + 19.5 at Chiefs

49ers + 4 to + 3 at Seahawks

Vikings + 7 to + 6.5 at Packers

Patriots + 4 to + 3.5 at Buffalo

Falcons-Panthers Under 51 to 49

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