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Early NFL Week 6 Sharp Report

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The Ravens clawed back from a 16-point deficit last night to beat the Colts 31-25 in overtime on Monday Night Football. With the win, the Ravens saved teaser bettors (-7.5 to -1.5) and also those who took Baltimore in survivor. However, the Colts managed to cover the spread (7.5). With Indianapolis covering, dogs improve to 45-35 ATS (56 percent) this season, with road dogs improving to 30-19 ATS (61 percent). Primetime dogs are now 9-6 ATS (60 percent).
 
Now we turn our attention to Tuesday, where bettors have a trio of MLB playoff games to choose from. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.
 
In the meantime, let's discuss where the early action is flowing for NFL Week 6...
 
 
Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars
 
This early morning London showdown features two teams with a combined record of 1-9. The Dolphins (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) have dropped four straight after beating the Patriots 17-16 in the season opener. Miami just got waxed by the Bucs 45-17, failing to cover as 11-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Jaguars (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS) are one of only two winless teams in the NFL, along with the Lions. Jacksonville just fell to Tennessee 37-19, failing to cover as 4.5-point home dogs. This line opened with Miami listed as a 3-point road favorite. Early money has faded the hapless Jags and pushed the Dolphins from -3 to -3.5. London favorites are 16-10 ATS (62 percent) since 2007. Also, teams off a blowout loss of 20-points or more (like the Dolphins) are 9-2 ATS this season and roughly 55% ATS over the past decade. Sharps have also hit the over, driving the total up from 44.5 to 45.5. London overs are 13-8 (62 percent) since 2012. 
 
 
Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens
 
This heavyweight showdown between divisional leaders could be a possible playoff preview. The Chargers (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) have won three straight and just edged the Browns 47-42 last week, covering as 2.5-point home favorites. Similarly, the Ravens (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) have won four straight, including a big 31-25 come-from-behind win over the Colts last week, although Baltimore failed to cover as 7.5-point home favorites. This line opened with the Ravens listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Early respected money has pounced on the Chargers getting the hook, dropping most books down from 3.5 to 3. Road dogs are 30-19 ATS (61 percent) this season. Short road dogs 6 or less are 22-8 ATS (73 percent). Los Angeles also enjoys a rest advantage as the Ravens are on a short week having played on Monday night. 
 
 
Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns
 
This non-conference matchup pits two of the top scoring offenses against each other. The Cardinals (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) are the last remaining unbeaten team in the NFL and just edged the 49ers 17-10 last week, covering s 6-point home favorites. On the flip side, the Browns (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) just lost to the Chargers 47-42, failing to cover as 2.5-point road dogs. The loss snapped a three-game win streak for Cleveland. This line opened with the Browns listed as a 3-point home favorite. With most teams receiving roughly 3-point for home field advantage, oddsmakers are pretty much saying this game would be a pick'em on a neutral field. Sharp money has pounced on Arizona as a dog, dropping the Cardinals from 3 to 2.5. Short road dogs 3 or less are 11-3 ATS (79 percent) this season. Pros have hammered this under, dropping the total from 54 to 50.5. The forecast calls for 15 MPH winds at the Dawg Pound. 
 
 
More early Week 6 moves
Lions  3.5 to  3 vs Bengals
Cowboys -2 to -4.5 at Patriots
Steelers -3.5 to -5 vs Seahawks
Bills -3 to -5.5 at Titans
Broncos -3 to -3.5 vs Raiders
Vikings-Panthers Under 47 to 46
Packers-Bears Under 46 to 45
Bucs-Eagles Under 52.5 to 51.5
 
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