Early NFL Week 13 Sharp Report


Washington beat Seattle 17-15 on Monday Night Football, winning outright as 1.5-point home dogs. With the cover, primetime dogs improve to 23-13 ATS (64%) on the season. The under 46.5 also cashed last night. Primetime unders are now 19-16 (54%) on the season, but a sparkling 17-5 over the past two months. 

Now we move on to Tuesday, where bettors have 5 NBA games, 8 NHL games, 2 College Football games and 40 College Basketball games to choose from. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where the early action is flowing for NFL Week 13...
Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints
This Thursday Night matchup features two teams looking to snap losing streaks. The Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) have dropped two straight and three of their last four, most recently falling to the Raiders 36-33 on Thanksgiving as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Saints (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) have lost four straight and just got crushed by the Bills 31-6, failing to cover as 7-point home dogs. This line opened with Dallas listed as a 5.5-point road favorite. We've seen big money jump on the Saints, dropping the line from 5.5 to 4.5. The major reason for the line move is a COVID situation with the Cowboys, who will be without several players and coaches, including Mike McCarthy. Taysom Hill is expected to start for New Orleans. Dogs off a 20 point blowout loss are 14-9 ATS (61%) this season. Conference dogs  7 or less are 57-32 ATS (64%). 
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
These NFC West foes are trending in opposite directions. The 49ers (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) have won three straight and just took down the Vikings 34-26, covering as 4-point home favorites. On the flip side, the Seahawks (3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS) have lost three straight and are just 1-6 over their last seven games. Seattle just fell to Washington 17-15, losing outright as 1.5-point road favorites. This line opened with the 49ers listed as a 2.5-point road favorite. Some early openers were closer to a pick'em. Wiseguys aren't outsmarting themselves and have laid the points with San Francisco, driving the line up to 49ers -3. San Francisco has a rest advantage as the Seahawks played on Monday Night and are now on a short week. Respected money has hit the under, dropping the total from 46.5 to 45.5. The under is 9-1-1 in Seahawks games this season. 
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
The top spot in the AFC East is up for grabs in this Monday Night showdown. The Patriots (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS) are riding a 6-game win streak and just crushed the Titans 36-13, easily covering as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Bills (7-4 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) are a mediocre 3-3 over their last six games, but just beat the Saints 31-6 as 7-point road favorites. This line opened with Buffalo listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Respected money has poured in on New England, dropping the line from 3.5 to 3. The Patriots  3 is also juiced up to -115, signaling a possible further drop down to 2.5. Short road dogs  3 or less are 17-10 ATS (63%) this season. Divisional dogs are 26-20 ATS (57%). We've also seen some under money drop the total from 45 to 44. The forecast calls for high 20s in Buffalo with 15 MPH winds. When the wind blows 10 MPH or more the under is 35-20 (64%). 
More Week 13 Moves
Cardinals -7 to -8 at Bears
Bucs -9.5 to -11 at Falcons
Colts -7 to -9 at Texans
Bengals -2.5 to -3 vs Chargers
Giants-Dolphins Under 43.5 to 42
Chiefs-Broncos Under 49 to 47
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