In the meantime, let's discuss where the early action is flowing for NFL Week 12...
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts
This non-conference showdown features two teams with postseason aspirations. The Bucs (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS) just dominated the Giants 30-10, easily covering as 10.5-point home favorites. The win snapped a two-game losing skid for Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, the Colts (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) have won three straight and are 6-2 in their last 8 games. Indianapolis just crushed Buffalo 41-15, winning outright as 7-point road dogs. This line opened with the Bucs listed as a 3-point road favorite. Respected money has pounced on the Colts as a home dog, dropping the line from 3 to 2.5. Dogs are 93-70 ATS (57%) this season. Dogs off a blowout win of 20 points are 17-11 ATS (61%) over the past two seasons. The Colts have a rest advantage as Tampa Bay is on a short week having just played on Monday night. The Colts are in a prime teaser spot ( 2.5 to 8.5), which goes through the key numbers of 3 and 7.
Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers
Both of these NFC juggernauts are looking to rebound from tough losses. The Rams (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS) have lost two straight games, most recently falling to the 49ers 31-10, losing outright as 3.5-point road favorites. Similarly, the Packers (8-3 SU, 9-2 ATS) have lost two of their last three games and just fell to the Vikings 34-31, losing outright as 1.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Green Bay listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. The public is happy to lay the short spread with Aaron Rodgers at Lambeau. However, this line has fallen from 1.5 to a pick'em. This indicated respected money backing the Rams, who enjoy a rest advantage and are coming off a bye. Sean McVay is 14-7 ATS (67%) off a loss in his career. We've also seen some wiseguy money hit the under, dropping the total from 50 to 47.5. The forecast calls for cold temperatures (30 degrees) and 10-12 MPH winds. When the wind blows 10 MPH or more the under is 35-16 (69%) this season.
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
Major NFC North bragging rights are on the line in this Sunday Night Showdown. The Browns (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) are coming off a 13-10 win over the Lions, although Cleveland failed to cover as 13.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Ravens (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS) just edged the Bears 16-13, covering as 1-point road favorites. This line opened with Baltimore listed as a 5-point home favorite. Respected money has sided with the road dog Browns, dropping Cleveland from 5 to 4. Road dogs are 62-36 ATS (63%) this season, with road dogs 7 or less a sparkling 51-19 ATS (73%). Primetime dogs are 22-11 ATS (67%). Sharps have also sided with the under, dropping the total from 46.5 to 45.5. This is another "windy under" system match, as the forecast calls for high 30s with 10-15 MPH winds. Late season divisional unders are roughly 56% the last decade.
More Week 12 Moves
Washington 1.5 to -1 vs Seahawks
49ers -2.5 to -3 vs Vikings
Panthers -1 to -2 at Dolphins
Bears-Lions Under 42.5 to 41.5