Early CFB Week 9 Sharp Report



Today bettors have a loaded Wednesday slate to choose from, including Game 2 of the World Series, 10 NBA games and 5 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.


In the meantime, let's discuss where the early action is flowing for Week 9 of the College Football season...


12 p.m. ET: Iowa at Wisconsin

This Big Ten showdown is the most heavily bet early game on the board. Iowa (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) is ranked 9th in the country and is coming off a bye. The Hawkeyes just suffered their first loss of the season, falling to Purdue 24-7 as 11.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Wisconsin (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) was left for dead after starting the season 1-3. But now the Badgers have won three straight, including a 30-13 win over Purdue last week, covering as 3.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Wisconsin listed as a 3-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this line speaks volumes. If Iowa is the better team and ranked, then why are they getting points? The public is rushing to the window to grab Iowa, yet we've seen the line stay at Wisconsin -3 or even -3.5 at some shops. This signals sharp "fade the trendy dog" liability on contrarian favorite Wisconsin. We could also be looking at a low scoring game. The total has fallen from 37 to 36.5. Iowa is 5-2 to the under. Wisconsin is 4-3 to the under. 


7 p.m. ET: Mississippi at Auburn

This primetime matchup features a pair of ranked SEC rivals battling for conference supremacy. Ole Miss (6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) is ranked 10th in the country and has won three straight games, most recently beating LSU 31-17, covering as 9-point home favorites. On the flip side, Auburn (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) is ranked 18th and just crushed Arkansas 38-23, winning outright as 4.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Auburn listed as a 1-point home favorite. The public is jumping all over Ole Miss as a dog due to their higher ranking and better record. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen Auburn move from -1 to -3. This indicates respected money laying the points with Auburn. Auburn is also coming off a bye. Ranked home favorites off a bye are roughly 59% ATS the past decade. Both teams can put up points (Ole Miss 41.9 PPG and Auburn 35.4 PPG). The difference comes on defense, where Ole Miss is allowing 28.3 PPG and Auburn just 19.7 PPG. 


7:30 p.m. ET: Penn State at Ohio State

This Big Ten primetime clash features two rivals trending in opposite directions. Penn State (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) is ranked 20th in the country and has lost two straight, most recently falling to unranked Illinois 20-18 in a 9 OT thriller, losing outright as 24.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Ohio State (6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) has won five straight and is ranked 5th. The Buckeyes just crushed Indiana 54-7, easily covering as 21-point home favorites. This line opened with Ohio State listed as a 17-point home favorite. Pros and Joes aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're both laying the points with red-hot Ohio State, steaming the Buckeyes up from -17 to -18.5. When two ranked teams face off, the favorite is roughly 56% ATS over the past decade. Both teams have stellar defenses (PSU allows 14.71 PPG and OSU 18.57 PPG). The big difference comes on offense, where Ohio State is averaging 49.29 PPG and Penn State just 26.86. 


More Week 9 Moves

Michigan -3.5 to -4.5 at Michigan State

Colorado  26.5 to  24 at Oregon

Miami  11.5 to  9 at Pittsburgh

Buffalo -12.5 to -13.5 vs Bowling Green

Oklahoma -19 to -20 vs Texas Tech

Baylor -2 to -3 vs Texas

Maryland -3 to -5.5 vs Indiana

Utah -4.5 to -6.5 vs UCLA

Georgia Tech -3 to -4 vs Virginia Tech


back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.


View All
  • Lauri_Markanen

    Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday recaps, Contest Corner, Wednesday play (12/1)

    As we were getting ready for the Tuesday night sports betting action to begin with the NBA, NHL and college basketball, all I could think of is that I...
  • baylor

    Early CFB Conference Championship Sharp Report

    Today bettors have a loaded Wednesday slate to choose from including 9 NBA games, 6 NHL games and 70 College Basketball games. For an updated breakdown...
  • reynolds

    Hero World Challenge best bets

    While the official PGA Tour season is on pause until January, an elite field of 20 players gathers this week for the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas....
  • finocchiaro

    Best bets for Font-Aldo UFC card

    After a week off for Thanksgiving, the UFC heads into its last three productions of 2021 starting with Saturday’s UFC Fight Night from the Apex...
  • USATSI_17242641

    Peterson: Best bet for Nebraska vs. NC State

    The Big Ten/ACC Challenge will be decided on Wednesday and NC State will look to both help its profile, and also that of the ACC, as the Wolfpack...
  • vontobelnfl

    NFL Week 12 lessons learned

    It was an emotional week for me in the NFL, as the Indianapolis Colts’ failed cover cost me a share of the first-place prize in the Westgate SuperContest...
  • vontobelnba

    Three NBA trends to watch

    It was a somewhat quiet week in the NBA with the league taking a night off for Thanksgiving, but there is still plenty to discuss. This week we touch...
  • macneil

    Hockey bettors must beat closing line

    In the end, wins and losses are really all that matters, because every sports bettor’s goal is to make money. However, wins and losses don’t...
  • appelbaum

    Five NFL games wise guys like

    NFL underdogs continued to grind out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 ATS. Dogs are now 101-77 ATS (57 percent) on the season. A $100 bettor taking every...
  • hill

    NFL capsules for Week 13

    Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints The Dallas Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) visit the New Orleans Saints (5-6 SU and ATS) on Thursday night as both...
  • moore

    Let's re-examine Gonzaga wagers

    Those predictions we heard about this college basketball season being filled with upsets and uncertainty? Well, they seem to be pretty accurate just a...
  • makinennfl

    Simulating rest of NFL season

    (To view the charts associated with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) All NFL teams have either five or six games left in their 2021-22...

VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!


  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store