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Dogs bite into favorites again in Week 4, even with late KC cover

Dave Tuley senior reporter

October 3, 2017 07:27 AM

Tom Brady and the Pats were the biggest upset on a day of upsets.
© USA Today Sports Images

LAS VEGAS– The dogs barked again in NFL Week 4 as they were 9-7 ATS with seven outright upsets, even with the favored Chiefs covering on Monday Night Football in the wildest ATS ending of this week or just about any other week.

The Chiefs were between 6.5- and 7-point home favorites over the Redskins and took a 23-20 on Harrison Butker's 43-yards field goal with just :04 left in play. After a touchback, the Redskins tried a desperation lateral play that would up in Justin Houston's hands and he ran it in for the the touchdown and a miracle cover for KC backers (and all-time bad beat for Washington bettors).


Note: the over/under also closed an average 48 here in Vegas, another ouch! for under bettors.


Week 4 actually started chalky with the Packers’ 35-14 rout of the Bears as 7-point home favorites on Thursday Night Football and the Saints’ 20-0 whitewashing of the Dolphins after closing as 4-point favorites in the early Sunday morning game from London, but underdogs went 6-2 SU & ATS (yes, 6-2 SU means all six of the dogs that covered also won outright) in the 1 p.m. ET block of games.

The biggest upset was the Panthers beating the Patriots 36-33 as 9-point road underdogs and 375 on the money line, but they weren’t alone as the Rams (35-30 over the Cowboys as 5.5-point road dogs), Lions (14-7 over the Vikings as 2.5-point road dogs), Texans (57-14 over the Titans as 2.5-point home underdogs), Jets (23-20 over the Jaguars as 4-point home dogs) and Bills (23-17 over the Falcons as 8.5-point road dogs) also came through on the money line for their backers.

The Bengals (31-7 over the Browns as 3.5-point road favorites) and Steelers (26-9 over the Ravens as 3.5-point road faves) were the only teams to come through for chalk bettors. Over/unders split 4-4 in the 1 p.m. ET starts and are 5-5 including TNF and the London game.

Favorites won three of the four “afternoon” games (1:05 and 1:25 p.m. PT starts), with the Broncos were the only favorites to cover with their 16-10 win over the Raiders as 3.5-point home faves. The Buccaneers beat the Giants 25-23 on a FG as time expired, but it was New York backers who cashed on the 2.5-point road underdogs. The Cardinals beat the 49ers 18-15 in overtime on a Carson Palmer-to-Larry Fitzgerald TD pass after San Fran kicked a field goal on its first overtime drive, but 49er backers still got the money on the 6.5-point road dogs. The only outright upset of the afternoon games was the Eagles’ 26-24 win at the Chargers as 2-point road dogs.

The underdogs were 9-5 ATS heading into Sunday night's game, but then Seattle blew out In Indianapolis 46-18.

Over/unders split 2-2 in the afternoon games and were 7-7 overall heading into the Sunday game, but the Seahawks-Colts game moved the edge to 8-7 Over.

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