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Dodgers and Padres give bettors a bad beat push

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

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In the pantheon of bad beat stories, Major League Baseball is not well-represented. Bettors tend to remember the 2012 Belk Bowl, the 2013 New Mexico Bowl, The Fail Mary with the replacement refs, every time a college kid unnecessarily fouled with the game out of reach and the spread hanging in the balance and those NBA halfcourt heaves that never seem to work out in your favor.

Well, MLB added a doozy of a submission to the Bad Beat Hall of Fame on Wednesday night.

Fortunately, for most bettors, the bad beat was not a loss, rather a push on the total of 8. However, a bad beat for you is one that does end up helping somebody else and there were early bettors that managed to snag the opening line of 7.5 and take the over for the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres game.

It wasn’t around long at all, but there were some 7.5s that appeared to have no shot as the game went into the 15th inning tied at 1-1, the longest game in the current “ghost runner” era. The teams combined to go 7-for-51 with men in scoring position, with four of those seven hits in the 15th and 16th innings.

Jake Cronenworth scored on an infield single in the second inning and Will Smith banged a solo homer in the eighth, as Padres starter Blake Snell got an out for the first time in the eighth inning since July 7, 2018. That was it for the regulation scoring.

Even with a man automatically placed on second to begin every inning from the 10th through the 14th, neither team broke through. In the 15th, the Dodgers got RBI singles from Billy McKinney and Trea Turner. The Padres answered in the 15th with Fernando Tatis Jr.’s two-run blast, tying the game at 3-3.

Totals bettors watched in horror as AJ Pollock’s two-run tater to lead off the 16th flew deep into the San Diego night to give the Dodgers a 5-3 lead. At least the push held for most with a 1-2-3 inning from Shane Greene, who lowered his ERA to 8.84 with last night’s scoreless frame.

All told, the game, which lasted five hours and 49 minutes, wound up a 5-3 final in favor of the Dodgers. Over bettors that got the absolute best of the number had the most improbable of wins with 7.5. The vast majority of bettors on either side of the total pushed the 8. Anybody that got a rogue Under 8.5 ticket scored a win in spite of the ending.

Most bad beats underscore the importance of getting the best of the line. In this instance, those that did correctly project the move up to 8 when the line opened at 7.5 avoided heartbreak. A lot of times, a bad beat ends up falling close to the number, but those that are holding the best of it can come away from the carnage unscathed.

It was there for such a short time, though, that it was virtually impossible to grab for most gamblers. Still, it is yet another indication of why trying your hardest to get the best of the number is going to help in the long run. Bettors of all bankroll sizes and skill levels should get in the practice of doing what they can to get the best line possible. This may be the most recent example, but it surely won’t be the last.

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