Friday College Basketball Sharp Report

February 24, 2023 01:33 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top game and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Friday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for today's College Basketball slate...


7 p.m. ET: Siena at Rider (-3, 135.5)

Siena (17-10) just saw their two game win streak come to an end, falling to Quinnipiac 66-63 and losing outright as 2.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Rider (14-11) has lost two straight and just fell to Quinnipiac 90-88 in double overtime but covering as 3-point road dogs. This line opened with Rider listed as low as a 1.5-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the short chalk with the home team, steaming Rider up to -3. Short home favorites -5 or less with a line move in their favor are 162-131 ATS (55%) in conference play this season. Ken Pom has Rider winning by two points (70-68). Rider also has buy-low value as a "bad" ATS team (11-13) against a sell-high "good" ATS team (15-11-1). Rider is 7-3 at home. This is a revenge spot for Rider, who fell to Siena 68-63 back on January 8th.


7 p.m. ET: Marshall (-3.5, 151) at Old Dominion

Marshall (24-6) has won five straight games and just took down James Madison 92-83, winning outright as 1-point road dogs. Similarly, Old Dominion (18-11) has won five of their last six games and just edged Southern Miss 69-64, winning outright as 1.5-point home dogs. This line opened with Marshall listed as a 4-point road favorite. Pros have taken the points with the home dog, dropping Old Dominion from +4 to +3.5. Some shops are even down to +3. Old Dominion is receiving 42% of bets but 71% of money, a sharp contrarian bet discrepancy in their favor. Ken Pom has Marshall winning by four points (76-72). Old Dominion is 11-4 at home this season. Sharps have also hit the over, raising the total from 150 to 151. Marshall is 15-13-1 to the over, including 8-5 to the over on the road. 


7 p.m. ET: Appalachian State at Georgia Southern (-2, 130.5)

Appalachian State (16-14) has rotated wins and losses of their last six games and just beat Georgia State 78-52, easily covering as 2-point road favorites. On the other hand, Georgia Southern (15-15) just snapped a two game losing skid with a 76-68 win over Coastal Carolina, covering as 7-point home favorites. This line opened with Georgia Southern listed as a short 1-point home favorite. Pros have sided with the home team, driving Georgia Southern up from -1 to -2. Georgia Southern is receiving 60% of bets but 84% of money, signaling moderate public support and heavy smart money. Sun Belt home favorites are 40-19 (68%) straight up in conference play. Ken Pom has Georgia Southern winning by two points (65-63). Wiseguys have also leaned over, raising the total from 129 to 130.5. The over is receiving 78% of bets but 94% of money. 



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