Wednesday College Basketball Sharp Report

January 24, 2023 11:27 PM
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Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 6:30 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Wednesday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 2:30 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Wednesday's College Basketball slate...

 

7 p.m. ET: West Virginia at Texas Tech (-3.5, 141.5) 

West Virginia (11-8) has lost six of their last seven games and just fell to Texas 69-61, losing outright as 1-point home favorites. Similarly, Texas Tech (10-9) has lost seven straight games and just fell to Kansas State 68-58, failing to cover as 3.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Texas Tech listed as a 2-point home favorite. Respected money has laid the chalk with the home team, steaming Texas Tech up from -2 to -3.5. Currently 62% of bets but 74% of money is backing the Red Raiders, signaling both Pro and Joe support. Texas Tech is 8-3 at home this season. West Virginia is just 1-4 on the road. Short favorites -4 or less with a line move in their favor are 105-62 (63%) straight up this season. Texas Tech is -165 on the moneyline. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 142.5 to 141.5. Currently 56% of bets but 94% of money is on the under, a sharp under bet discrepancy.

 

7 p.m. ET: Wake Forest at Pittsburgh (-3, 148.5) 

Wake Forest (14-6) just had their four-game win streak come to an end, falling to Virginia 76-67 and failing to cover as 3-point home dogs. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh (13-7) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Florida State 71-64 and losing outright as 7.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Pitt listed as a short 2-point home favorite. Pros seem to think this line was a bit short and have steamed the Panthers up from -2 to -3. Some shops are flirting with a further move up to -3.5. Pitt is receiving 64% of bets but 79% of money, indicating both public and smart money in their favor. Ken Pom has Pitt winning the game by four points (77-73). He also has Pitt ranked higher (68 vs 74). The Panthers are -150 on the moneyline. Pitt will lean on their edge defensively (allowing 68 PPG vs 72 PPG) and on the boards (38 RPG vs 35 RPG). Pitt is 8-3 at home. Wake Forest is 3-3 on the road. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 149.5 to 148.5.

 

7 p.m. ET: Fordham at St. Bonaventure (-4, 132)

Fordham (15-4) has won three of their last four games and just took down Duquesne 65-58, winning outright as 7-point road dogs. On the flip side, St. Bonaventure (10-10) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Loyola Chicago 67-55 and losing outright as 1.5-point road favorites. This line opened with St. Bonaventure listed as a 3-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this opening line speaks volumes. Why is a 10-10 favored over a 15-4 team? Shouldn't it be the other way around? Sharps have embraced the fishy side, steaming the Bonnies up from -3 to -4. Some shops are inching up to -4.5. The Bonnies are receiving 81% of bets but 99% of money, a heavy combination or public and pro support. Ken Pom has the Bonnies winning by four points (68-64). He has St. Bonaventure ranked higher as well (159 vs 183). St. Bonaventure is 9-1 at home this season. The Bonnies are -175 on the moneyline. 

 

 

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