Monday College Basketball Sharp Report

March 6, 2023 03:01 AM
 

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

Be sure to visit the VSiN Betting Splits for every game as well.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Monday's College Basketball slate...

 

7 p.m. ET: Northern Kentucky vs Youngstown State (-3, 137)

This is the Horizon League conference tournament semifinals. Northern Kentucky (20-12) beat Oakland in the quarterfinals 81-74, covering as 6.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Youngstown State (24-8) just took down Detroit 71-66 in the quarterfinals, failing to cover as 8.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Youngstown State listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite. Respected money has laid the points, moving Youngstown State up from -2.5 to -3. Youngstown State is receiving 70% of bets and 90% of money, signaling both heavy Pro and Joe support. Ken Pom has Youngstown State winning the game by four points (72-68). He has Youngstown ranked higher as well (122nd vs 174th). Youngstown State holds the edge offensively (83 PPG vs 68 PPG) and in the shooting department (49% vs 43%). Youngstown State is -150 on the moneyline. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 138 to 137. The under is receiving 30% of bets but 48% of money, a sharp discrepancy. 

 

7:30 p.m. ET: Idaho State vs Montana (-5.5, 131.5)

This is the quarterfinals of the Big Sky conference tournament. Idaho State (11-20) has lost five of their last seven games and just fell to Northern Colorado 87-72, failing to cover as 5.5-point road dogs. On the other hand, Montana (16-13) has won seven of their last eight games and just took down Idaho 68-53, covering as 5-point road favorites. This line opened with Montana listed as a 5-point neutral site favorite. Wiseguys have laid the points, steaming Montana up from -5 to -5.5. Montana is receiving 78% of bets but 97% of money, a combination of heavy sharp and public money. Ken Pom has Montana winning by four points (70-66). He has Montana ranked higher (154th vs 241st). Montana is 2-0 vs Idaho State this season, winning 69-61 and 84-55. Pros have also leaned under, dropping the total from 132 to 131.5.

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