Makinen: Betting opportunities in lopsided college basketball head-to-head series

January 12, 2023 05:45 PM
Drew_Timme

Every team in every league has opponents that, for one reason or another, they match up better or worse against. It can be because of strength, size, location, or simply good old-fashioned luck either way. But for bettors, not considering this aspect in handicapping games is leaving a huge void. In college basketball, it seems to be of particular importance, as some head-to-head trends have formed over recent years, uncovering what has turned into extremely lopsided series. This can be due to talent differences, sizes of crowds, and intensity of the rivalry, among other things.

I am going to reveal 30 top college basketball head-to-head series’ that have been particularly one-sided of late. I have also gone ahead and listed the next matchup between the teams in 2023, so you can mark your calendars accordingly.

Note that these angles are already 6-2 ATS in the 2022-23 season.

30 Top ATS head-to-head series trends

Air Force is 4-11 SU but 12-3 ATS in the last 15 versus UNLV

The Average Line was Air Force +8.3

The Average Score was Air Force 74, UNLV 78.6

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/24 at UNLV

Clemson is on a 10-0 SU and ATS streak vs. Pittsburgh

The Average Line was Clemson -4.3

The Average Score was Clemson 72.5, Pittsburgh 58.6

Upcoming 2023 matchups: Played last Saturday and Clemson (+2.5) won 75-74 at Pittsburgh. Potential ACC tourney rematch?

Gonzaga is on a 22-5 SU and 20-6-1 ATS run vs. St. Mary’s-CA

The Average Line was Gonzaga -8.4

The Average Score was Gonzaga 74.3, St. Mary’s-CA 60.3

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/24 at St. Mary’s-CA, 2/25 at Gonzaga

Houston is on a 10-3 SU and 12-1 ATS run vs. Cincinnati

The Average Line was Houston -5.5

The Average Score was Houston 71.8, Cincinnati 58.9

Upcoming 2023 matchups: Houston won this past Saturday by almost the exact average score (72-59) at Cincinnati. Next matchup is 1/28 at Houston

Iowa State is 8-3 SU and 11-0 ATS in their last 11 hosting Oklahoma

The Average Line was Oklahoma -0.4

The Average Score was Iowa State 75.7, Oklahoma 69.4

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/11 at Iowa State

Michigan is on an 8-3 SU and 11-0 ATS streak versus Purdue

The Average Line was Purdue -1.2

The Average Score was Michigan 77, Purdue 69

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/26 at Michigan

UNDER the total has converted in 14 straight games of the Citadel-Mercer SoCon series

The Average Total was 162.3

The Average Score was Mercer 76.8, The Citadel 68.2

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/28 at The Citadel, 2/25 at Mercer

Road teams are 8-6 SU and 13-1 ATS in the last 14 games of the Georgia-Florida rivalry

The Average Line was Road Teams +3.3

The Average Score was Road 70, Home 68.3

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/28 at Georgia

Road teams are 8-7 SU and 13-2 ATS in the last 15 games of the Fresno State-San Diego State series

The Average Line was Road Teams +2.4

The Average Score was Road 64.2, Home 62.5

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/15 at Fresno St

Road teams are 9-4 SU and 11-1-1 ATS in the last 13 games of the Alabama-Florida rivalry

The Average Line was Road Teams +3.2

The Average Score was Road 69.8, Home 64.8

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/8 at Alabama

The last 13 games of the Southern Illinois-Northern Iowa series at NIU went UNDER the total

The Average Total was 119.0

The Average Score was Northern Iowa 59.8, Southern Illinois 52.7

Upcoming 2023 matchups: SIU-NIU game went UNDER this past Saturday once again, next matchup is 2/22 at Southern Illinois

The last 12 games of the Florida-Kentucky series not in Gainesville went UNDER the total

The Average Total was 136.5

The Average Score was Kentucky 67.3, Florida 60.3

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/4 at Kentucky

UNDER the total is 11-1 in the last 12 Tennessee-Alabama matchups

The Average Total was 137.1

The Average Score was Alabama 64.5, Tennessee 60.1

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/15 at Tennessee

UNDER the total is 19-4 in the last 23 games of the Akron-Kent State MAC series

The Average Total was 138.7

The Average Score was Kent State 64.5, Akron 66.5

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/4 at Akron, 3/3 at Kent State

Underdogs are 10-12 SU but 18-4 ATS in the last 22 games of the Texas-Oklahoma Big 12 series

The Average Line was Underdog +4.8

The Average Score was Underdog 71.1, Favorite 70.6

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/18 at Texas

Underdogs are 10-6 SU and 13-2-1 ATS in the last 16 games of the Miami Ohio-Northern Illinois MAC set

The Average Line was Underdog +5.7

The Average Score was Underdog 67.4, Favorite 64.9

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/17 at Miami, 2/18 at Northern Illinois

Underdogs are 6-3 SU and 9-0 ATS in the last 9 games of the Furman-Wofford rivalry

The Average Line was Underdog +4.6

The Average Score was Underdog 69.8, Favorite 63.3

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/22 at Wofford, 2/4 at Furman

Underdogs are 9-9 SU and 14-2 ATS in the last 16 games of the Wisconsin-Indiana rivalry

The Average Line was Underdog +6.3

The Average Score was Underdog 67.7, Favorite 68.1

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/14 at Indiana

Underdogs are on 13-9 SU and 18-4 ATS run in the Northern Arizona-Idaho State head-to-head series

The Average Line was Underdog +4.5

The Average Score was Underdog 72, Favorite 69.9

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/6 at Northern Arizona

Underdogs in the Seton Hall-Marquette Big East series are 9-6 SU and 13-2 ATS in the last 15 games

The Average Line was Underdog +4.1

The Average Score was Underdog 73.7, Favorite 72.1

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/21 at Seton Hall

OVER the total is on a 17-game win streak in South Dakota-Oral Roberts matchups

The Average Total was 148.4

The Average Score was Oral Roberts 80.6, South Dakota 80.7

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/23 at South Dakota

Favorites are on 23-3 SU and 21-4-1 ATS run in the last 26 Memphis-UCF meetings

The Average Line was Favorite -7.0

The Average Score was Favorite 78.3, Underdog 66.3

Upcoming 2023 matchups: After UCF (-1.5) double-OT 107-104 win on Wednesday night. The rematch is 2/16 in Memphis

Favorites have gone 17-2 SU and 15-3-1 ATS in the last 19 Syracuse-Boston College meetings

The Average Line was Favorite -8.1

The Average Score was Favorite 75.5, Underdog 62.3

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/4 at Boston College

Favorites have won 12 straight outright and ATS in Elon-Drexel head-to-head series

The Average Line was Favorite -4.9

The Average Score was Favorite 74, Underdog 61.4

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/28 at Elon

Favorites in the Colorado-Oregon Big 12 rivalry are on 15-2 SU and ATS surge

The Average Line was Favorite -5.1

The Average Score was Favorite 76.5, Underdog 64.1

Upcoming 2023 matchups: After Colorado (-3) 68-41 rout on 1/5, rematch is 1/26 at Oregon

Favorites have converted 11 straight outright and ATS in the Louisiana Tech-UAB series

The Average Line was Favorite -3.7

The Average Score was Favorite 74.7, Underdog 64.1

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/14 at Louisiana Tech, 1/26 at UAB

St. Mary’s-CA is on 9-0 SU and ATS run at Loyola-Marymount

The Average Line was St. Mary’s-CA -8.3

The Average Score was St. Mary’s-CA 74.3, Loyola-Marymount 58.3

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/9 at Loyola-Marymount

UT-Chattanooga has gone 7-2 SU and 9-0 ATS in its last 9 games at Wofford

The Average Line was UT-Chattanooga +5.4

The Average Score was UT-Chattanooga 72.2, Wofford 66.3

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/25 at Wofford

Wright State is on an 11-2 SU and ATS run versus Horizon League rival Oakland

The Average Line was Wright State -2.9

The Average Score was Wright State 80.5, Oakland 68.1

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/23 at Oakland

Underdogs are 6-7 SU but 12-1 ATS in the last 13 games of the Florida Atlantic-Western Kentucky head-to-head series

The Average Line was Underdog +6.8

The Average Score was Underdog 71.4, Favorite 70.8

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/16 at Western Kentucky, 1/28 at Florida Atlantic

Underdogs are on a 10-6 SU and 14-2 ATS surge in the Seton Hall-Xavier series

The Average Line was Underdog +4.8

The Average Score was Underdog 78.4, Favorite 74.4

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/24 at Seton Hall

Underdogs have gone 8-4 SU and 12-0 ATS in the last 12 games of the Duke-Virginia rivalry

The Average Line was Underdog +4.4

The Average Score was Underdog 66.4, Favorite 63.9

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/11 at Virginia

Underdogs are 8-10 SU but 15-2-1 ATS in the last 18 games of the Wright State-Milwaukee set

The Average Line was Underdog +8.2

The Average Score was Underdog 70.2, Favorite 71.2

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 1/14 at Milwaukee, 1/26 at Wright State

UNC-Wilmington is on 14-7 SU and 18-3 ATS run versus College of Charleston

The Average Line was College of Charleston -1.9

The Average Score was UNC-Wilmington 68.5, College of Charleston 65.5

Upcoming 2023 matchups: After UNCW’s loss but ATS victory on Thursday at home, the rematch at Charleston will be 2/8.

UC-Irvine has gone 21-2 SU and 19-4 ATS in the last 23 versus UC-Riverside

The Average Line was UC-Irvine -8.2

The Average Score was UC-Irvine 70.4, UC-Riverside 57.5

Upcoming 2023 matchups: 2/11 at UC-Irvine, 3/2 at UC-Riverside

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