NCAA March Madness: Final Four predictions

440
 

The 2023 NCAA tournament is finally here, and our VSiN experts have provided their Final Four predictions!

 

Title bets | Betting Guide | Bracket Guide | Round 1 previews | First Four

Matt Youmans

Alabama, Duke, Houston, UCLA

Houston over Duke

A month ago, I determined with conviction that UCLA would be my pick to win it all, but injuries happen and plans change. Unfortunately, the Bruins lost their best defensive player, Jaylen Clark, and they probably lack the depth to win six games in this tournament. I’m pivoting to Houston, which can follow the lead of star guard Marcus Sasser and use lock-down defense to win as the hometown favorite.

Greg Peterson

Arizona, Kentucky, UConn, Houston

Arizona over Houston

The duo of Azuolas Tubelis and Oumar Ballo is the only in the bracket where both players both average more than eight rebounds per game. The Wildcats pair this up with four different guards averaging more than 10 points per game, and as a whole, the team is 14th in the country in 3-point shooting percentage away from home. The offense has been there for Arizona all season, but an improved defense is why they take home the title.

Jonathan Von Tobel

Alabama, Duke, Houston, Gonzaga

Gonzaga over Duke

The expectations for Gonzaga were immense the last two seasons, but it seems that the Bulldogs enter the NCAA tournament with little hype. The ‘Zags got a beneficial draw with a wounded No. 2 seed in UCLA as well, and they come into this tournament on a great 9-0 SU/6-3 ATS run. Everything is coming up Bulldogs.

Wes Reynolds

Creighton, Purdue, Houston, UConn

UConn over Purdue

The Huskies are one of four teams (Houston, Alabama, and Texas the others) to rank in the Top 20 in KenPom’s Offensive and Defensive Efficiency Rankings. UConn ranks No. 1 in the nation for Offensive Rebounding and they take away opposing threes (only allowing opponents to take 30% of their shots from the three). After losing six of eight games in a bad January, the Huskies have won nine of their last 11 games and will be the team that comes out of the brutal West Region.

Adam Burke

Arizona, Marquette, Houston, Gonzaga

Houston over Arizona

Of the No. 1 seeds, Houston has clearly the best draw to me. The top pod in the Midwest Region features a bunch of flawed teams in one way or another and the bottom of that bracket is also the weakest in the field in my estimation. Houston has a good chance at facing a double-digit seed in the Sweet 16 and I think they square up well in a potential Elite Eight game against Texas in an “anything you can do, I can do better” type of matchup.

Admittedly, I’d worry about Houston against any one of the top-15 teams in the loaded West Region in the Final Four, but I think that would be the tougher of the two games in Houston for them.

Dave Tuley

Alabama, Houston, Gonzaga, Duke

Houston over Alabama

We’re all looking for upsets in our brackets, but the reality is you need to have the champion to win your pool (and probably at least as many Final Four teams as your nearest competitors). In my primary bracket, I have No. 3 seed Gonzaga and No. 5 Duke in the Final Four, though I’ll be swapping out other teams in the East and West regionals in my secondary brackets. But I’m going chalky with Houston as the likely champion assuming Marcus Sasser is 100% – they’re saying he will be, though the Cougars really don’t need him until the Sweet 16.

VSiN College Basketball Links

Best Bets for every NCAA Tournament Game

Previews of all First-Round Games

Greg Peterson’s Daily Lines

College Basketball Betting Splits

College Basketball Odds

Peterson’s Daily CBB Podcast

VSiN College Basketball Betting Podcast