Monday College Basketball Sharp Report

February 5, 2023 11:35 PM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Monday's College Basketball slate...


7 p.m. ET: Duke at Miami (-3.5, 145.5) 

Duke (17-6) has won three straight games and just took down North Carolina 63-57, covering as 3-point home favorites. Similarly, Miami (18-5, ranked 23rd) has won three of their last four games and just edged Clemson 78-74, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Miami listed as a 2-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the points with the home team, steaming Miami up from -2 to -3.5. Some shops are even inching up to -4. Miami is only receiving 46% of bets but 71% of money, a sharp contrarian bet discrepancy in their favor. Ken Pom has Miami winning by two points (74-72). Miami has the edge offensively (78 PPG vs 73 PPG) and in the shooting department (48% vs 44%). Miami is 12-0 at home. Duke is 2-4 on the road. ACC home favorites are 44-12 (79%) straight up in conference play. Miami is -170 on the moneyline. 


9 p.m. ET: Texas at Kansas (-4, 146.5) 

Texas (19-4, ranked 10th) has won two straight games and just beat Kansas State 69-66, covering as 1.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, Kansas (18-5, ranked 8th) is 2-4 over their last six games and just fell to Iowa State 68-53, losing outright as 1.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Kansas listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Pros have laid the chalk with the home team, driving the Jayhawks up from -3.5 to -4. Short home favorites -5 or less with a line move in their direction in conference play are 112-83 ATS (57%) this season. When two top 10 teams face off, the favorite is 17-6 ATS (74%) over the past two seasons. Ken Pom has Kansas winning by three points (76-73). Kansas is 11-1 at home this season. Big 12 home favorites are 29-12 (71%) straight up in conference play. Kansas is -175 on the moneyline. 



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