Monday College Basketball Sharp Report

February 12, 2023 10:46 PM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Monday's College Basketball slate...


7 p.m. ET: Miami at North Carolina (-4.5, 153.5)

Miami (20-5, ranked 19th) has won four straight games and just edged Louisville 93-85 but failed to cover as 20-point home favorites. On the flip side, North Carolina (16-9) just snapped a three game losing skid with a 91-71 win over Clemson, easily covering as 7-point home favorites. This line opened with North Carolina listed as a 4-point home favorite. The public is split down the middle, with 50% of bets on both sides. However, despite this even ticket count we've seen North Carolina creep up from -4 to -4.5, signaling pro money laying the points with the home favorite. Unranked home favorites vs ranked opponents are 26-12 ATS (68%) this season. North Carolina is receiving 50% of bets but 68% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy in their favor. ACC home favorites are 51-13 (80%) straight up this season in conference play. North Carolina has a big edge on the boards, averaging 40 RPG compared to 35 RPG for Miami. Ken Pom has UNC winning by three points (80-77). He has UNC ranked higher as well (32nd vs 35th).


9 p.m. ET: Texas (-4, 145.5) at Texas Tech

Texas (20-5, ranked 5th) has won three of their last four games and just crushed West Virginia 94-60, easily covering as 7-point home favorite. Meanwhile, Texas Tech (13-12) just snapped a two game losing streak with a 71-63 win over Kansas State, covering as 2-point home favorites. This line opened with Texas listed as a 3-point road favorite. Sharps have laid the points, driving Texas up from -3.5 to -4. Ken Pom has Texas winning by five point (76-71). Texas has the edge offensively (80 PPG vs 74 PPG). Texas is 9-3 in conference play while Texas Tech is 2-10 in conference play. The total is 145.5. Both teams have been profitable to the over this season, with Texas 14-9-2 to the over and Texas Tech 15-10 to the over.




back to news

Live On Air

Streaming Now: The Lombardi Line

play Watch Live radio Listen Live


Matt Youmans: Heat (+8.5) at Nuggets. View more picks.


The Lombardi Line: Both the Nuggets and Heat shot poorly in Game 1 of the NBA Finals - and the total is down five points in Game 2 (219.5 to 214.5). Consider betting the OVER if you expect any positive regression. View more tips.