Sunday College Basketball Sharp Report

February 5, 2023 01:22 AM

12 p.m. ET: Fordham at Richmond (-3.5, 135.5) 

Fordham (18-4) has won five straight games and just took down Saint Louis 75-65, winning outright as 4-point home dogs. On the flip side, Richmond (11-2) has lost four straight games and just fell to St. Bonaventure 66-62, losing outright as 5-point home favorites. This line opened with Richmond listed as a 3-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this opening line speaks volumes. Why is an 11-12 team favored over an 18-4 team? The public is split and doesn't know who to take. However, despite this even betting we've seen Richmond move from -3 to -3.5. Some shops are even inching up to -4. This signals pro money laying the points with the home favorite. Richmond is receiving 50% of bets but 70% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy in their favor. Ken Pom has Richmond winning by three points (69-66). Richmond is -175 on the moneyline. Atlantic 10 home favorites are 35-15 (70%) straight up in conference play this season. Richmond is 9-3 at home. 


1 p.m. ET: Ohio State at Michigan (-4, 143.5) 

Ohio State (11-11) has lost eight of their last nine games and just fell to Wisconsin 65-60, losing outright as 7.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Michigan (12-10) just snaped a two-game losing skid with a 68-52 win over Northwestern, winning outright as 3.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Michigan listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Pros have laid the chalk with the home favorite, steaming Michigan up from -2.5 to -4. Big Ten home favorites are 47-12 (80%) straight up in conference play. Michigan is -180 on the moneyline. Michigan is 8-3 at home this season. Ohio State is 1-6 on the road. Michigan is 6-5 in conference play. Ohio State is 3-8 in conference play. Sharps have also hit the under, dropping the total from 144.5 to 143.5. The under is 6-1 in the last seven matchups between these teams. The under is 4-2 in the last six Ohio State road games. 


2 p.m. ET: Canisius at Marist (-1.5, 134)

Canisius (4-16) has last four straight games and just fell to Niagara 76-73 but covered as 4-point road dogs. Similarly, Marist (7-14) has lost five straight games and just fell to Quinnipiac 72-66 but covered as 10.5-point road dogs. This line opened at a pick'em. Respected money has sided with Marist, driving the home team up to -1.5. Short favorites -4 or less with a line move in their favor are 132-81 (62%) straight up. Marist is receiving 72% of bets but 84% of money, signaling both sharp and public support. Ken Pom has Marist winning by one point (67-66). Canisius is 2-10 on the road this season. Pros have also leaned over, raising the total from 132.5 to 134. The over is 9-1 int the last ten head-to-head matchups between the two teams. 



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