Friday College Basketball Sharp Report

January 20, 2023 12:27 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 6:30 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Friday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 2:30 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's examine where respected money is leaning for Friday's College Basketball slate...



7 p.m. ET: Saint Peter's at Marist (-3.5, 121.5) 

Saint Peter's (7-11) has lost five straight games and just fell to Fairfield 56-52, losing outright as 1.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Marist (7-9) has won three straight games and just beat Niagara 66-64, winning outright as 4.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Marist listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Sharps are riding the hot hand at home, steaming Marist up from -2.5 to -3.5. Short conference home favorites (-5 or less) with a line move in their favor are 55-41 ATS (57%) this season. Marist is the better shooting team (41% vs 38%). Saint Peter's is just 1-8 on the road this season. Ken Pom has Marist winning this game by four points (63-59). He has Marist ranked 297th and Saint Peter's 310th. The total hasn't budged off the opener of 121.5. Saint Peter's in 13-4 to the under this season. Marist is 10-6 to the over. 

7 p.m. ET: Villanova at St. John's (-4, 149.5) 

Villanova (9-10) just snapped a three game losing streak with a 77-73 win over Georgetown, but failed to cover as 13.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, St. John's (13-6) has won two straight games and just upset Connecticut 85-74, winning outright as 14.5-point road dogs. This line opened with St. John's listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Pros have laid the points with the home team, driving the Red Storm up from -3.5 to -4. Some shops are up to -4.5. Ken Pom has St. John's winning by six points (79-73). St. John's hold the edge offensively (79 PPG vs 71 PPG), shooting (47% vs 44%) and rebounding (40 RPG vs 32 RPG). St. John's is 9-2 at home this season. Villanova is just 2-5 on the road. Sharps have also hit the under, dropping the total from 152.5 to 149.5. Villanova plays at a very slow tempo (64 possessions/game). St. John's ranks 2nd fastest in the country (74). 

11 p.m. ET: Boise State at New Mexico (-2.5, 144.5)

Boise State (15-4) has won five straight games and just took down Nevada 77-62, covering as 5.5-point home favorites. Similarly, New Mexico (17-2) has won three straight games and just crushed San Jose State 77-57, cruising as 10-point home favorites. This line opened with New Mexico listed as a 2-point home favorite. Pros have laid the chalk with the short home favorite, driving New Mexico up from -2 to -2.5. Some shops are inching to -3. New Mexico has the better offense (82 PPG vs 73 PPG) and shooting (49% vs 45%). New Mexico is 12-1 at home this season. Ken Pom has New Mexico winning by one point (73-72). New Mexico is -140 on the moneyline. New Mexico is getting 76% of bets but 88% of money, signaling both Pro and Joe support. 

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