Burke: Looking back at the year that was

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

December 31, 2021 09:42 AM

The College Football Playoff semifinals have arrived and it is a glorious day to be a college football fan and bettor. Georgia, Michigan, Alabama and Cincinnati are not the four teams we expected to see in these bowl games today. Well, two of those four teams are not teams we expected to see playing for a shot at a National Championship.

It is a day to celebrate the sport. A day to celebrate the end of what has likely been a trying 2021 for just about all of us. A day to reflect upon what this college football season has been like for you from a betting standpoint. Frankly, a day to reflect on how the betting year has gone as a whole.

The best bettors in the world get to that point because they don’t stop striving to be better. They don’t get complacent. They are active and aggressive in acquiring new outs or ways to increase their bankrolls. They adopt new machine learning tools, models or find new sources of information to help attack the markets. They find new and different markets to attack. They isolate edges and look to play on strengths, while also trying to improve weaknesses. They also don’t chase.

Evaluate how your year has gone. Look for your strengths. Your weaknesses. See what you can improve upon. Strive to be better. Figure out what you can do to give yourself the best possible chance to turn a profit in this industry. For some, that may also mean finding your passion again. This has been a year that has worn a lot of people down in one way or another. If you’re burned out, if you’re struggling to find the energy and motivation to handicap the card, step back and assess where you are emotionally, mentally and physically.

Take stock of your bankroll. Maybe you find that you’re betting too much on games to enjoy it or you’re selling other areas of your life short with the money you’ve tied up. Maybe you find that you had a successful season and feel comfortable levering up.

And, lastly, if you’ll allow me the opportunity to be the Fun Police, don’t overextend yourself with the remaining bowl games or what’s left of the NFL regular season and playoffs. Don’t try to get all of your losses back in one or two bets. Don’t try to double the winnings you’ve earned by getting greedy. Stay within yourself and within your means. These games are fun and exciting. These are games we want action on. There are also going to be a lot of those games in 2022 as well, and likely ones where you’ll have a better chance at finding an edge. In theory, these should be some of the tightest, most efficient lines of the year. Treat them as such.

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