Burke: Looking back at college football season

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

January 11, 2022 10:53 AM
USATSI_17486122

The National Championship is finished, so now we all go into offseason mode. At least the NFL Playoffs and the other sports are still around, but CFB is such a huge passion of most bettors that it will be a long break. However, much like the NFL, season win totals and futures odds are getting posted earlier and earlier, so there are things to think about if you really want to at this time of the year.

When I hosted my daily podcast at my previous gigs, I would ask all of my guests two questions at the end of a season. The first was, “What do you feel like you did well this season or what change did you make that proved to be beneficial?” The second was, “What do you feel like you could do better or will try to incorporate more of next season?”

Self-evaluation is key in all walks of life, including betting. Answers would hit on topics like market entry (when you place your bets), not adjusting power ratings quickly enough, overreacting or underreacting to early-season results, not betting enough in the season win totals market, utilizing more stats, working in different resources or not reacting to news quick enough.

Bet tracking is something that I suggest to everybody. That way, you can see how you did with favorites and dogs, overs and unders, what your closing line value was and whether or not you got lucky or unlucky. If you didn’t do that this season, I encourage it for next season, but it can help you find weaknesses or blind spots in your betting.

Think about how your CFB season went. Were you successful? Did you beat a lot of closing lines? Maybe you should consider levering up your bankroll or allocating more of it to CFB and less of it to other sports.

Did you struggle? Were you consistently getting bad line value? Negative variance? Bad turnover luck? Try to assess the areas where you came up short and look to improve upon those things. Maybe CFB isn’t your best sport and you need to scale back your bet size or allocate more of your bankroll to another sport.

We’ve got some time now to really sit back and look at how the season went and win totals will be here before you know it. I think it’s best to do this at the end of every season, but especially with sports you are passionate about and bet a higher volume.

Lastly, I just want to thank everybody that reached out about the words I wrote yesterday regarding the passing of Brian Blessing. It is still a very difficult time, but the universal respect and admiration for Brian is helping all of us that knew him and loved him cope with this immeasurable loss.

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