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Burke: Conference championship player props

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

January 30, 2022 10:59 AM
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The right to go to Super Bowl LVI is on the line for four teams today. We’ve got lots of great info at VSiN.com to help you with the game, including our Player Prop Analyzer, that you may want to use when looking at today’s prop betting options.

Here are a few props that I like for today’s games:

Joe Mixon Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-115) – Mixon has 23 catches on 26 targets over the last four games and had seven catches for 40 yards in the first meeting against the Chiefs back in Week 17. Mixon has not averaged more than 3.9 yards per carry in a game since Week 12 against the Steelers. Perhaps the Bengals want to run in order to play keep away from Kansas City, or to at least keep the defense honest, but Mixon should be featured as a receiver here.

It helps to slow down the pass rush and there may be some windows open for Mixon to get some open field with so much attention paid to Ja’Marr Chase after he burned the Chiefs for 266 yards in that Week 17 matchup. This line is a little inflated, given that Mixon only averaged 19.6 receiving yards per game, but he’s been more of an option lately and this is a game that projects to have lots of yards and points.

Tee Higgins Over 5.5 Receptions ( 115) – Chase will probably get open, but the Chiefs are going to pay a lot more attention to him than they did the first time around. That should open up opportunities for other guys, including Higgins. He led the Bengals in targets last week with nine and caught seven of those Burrow throws.

Higgins averaged 5.3 receptions per game in the regular season, but this isn’t a normal game with the total as high as it is. He only had three catches on five targets in the last meeting because Chase went nuclear, so he may not get the respect he deserves from the KC secondary, as bracket coverage on Chase is a possibility.

Sony Michel First TD ( 1800) – Certainly a long shot gamble here, but after the performance we saw from Cam Akers last week, you have to think Michel gets a higher snap share and maybe even gets the start today. Michel is 300 for Anytime TD, which may not be a bad look either.

Michel was the focal point of the ground game up until Akers came back. After averaging just two yards per carry on 24 attempts with two critical fumbles last week, it’s hard not to see Michel having more involvement. To me, this is a dart worth throwing.

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