Bruins, Avs defying projections

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Now that we’re past the halfway mark of the NHL regular season, the race to the playoffs is starting to heat up. Hopefully bettors feel good about their futures portfolios. The time to buy low on teams that have performed well to date has passed, but some teams that have failed to live up to expectations are still capable of flipping a switch. Projections are a good reference point, but things often don’t work out the way they should in theory, and projections can change fast.

Take the Boston Bruins. They were well on their way to the East Division title but squandered several opportunities to create space in the standings. Once projected to finish first in the East more than 50% of the time, the Bruins’ chances are closer to 30% (-235). A lot can change in a month. Still, this is a good hockey team that can turn it around quickly, and the remaining schedule is soft. At + 375 or better, value exists in getting behind the Bruins to turn their season around. Not only is their schedule soft, but the team has games in hand on the teams they’re chasing. The current odds imply the Bruins have a 21% chance of winning the division.

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