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Brady news upsets markets

It's rare that a Hall of Fame athlete spends his entire career with one organization. Kobe Bryant and Derek Jeter are the exceptions, not the rule. Michael Jordan played for the Wizards. Joe Montana played for the Chiefs. Peyton Manning played for the Broncos. 

And now Tom Brady will play for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Brady shocked the sports world twice yesterday. First was his early morning post on social media announcing that he wouldn't return to the Patriots. Then in the late evening news broke that Brady would be signing with the Buccaneers. 

Brady leaves a legacy in New England that saw him mature from a 6th-round pick (#199 overall) into the most accomplished winner and greatest quarterback of all time. In 20 seasons, Brady went to nine Super Bowls and won six of them, appearing in 13 AFC Title games, won 17 AFC Divisional Titles, won four Super Bowl MVPs and three regular season MVPs, 14 Pro Bowls and finished with a record of 219-64 (.774). 

Brady wasn't just a winner on the field. He was an incredible quarterback to bet on. According to ESPN Stats and Info, Brady went 189-128-7 ATS (58.3%) as a starter in his Patriots career, the most profitable signal caller to bet on by far. 

Heading into yesterday, Brady remained a short -155 favorite to return to New England at FanDuel. The Bucs were the runner up at + 110. One Twitter user placed two separate $500 bets on Brady to sign with the Bucs at + 5000 and + 4000 at DraftKings on Feb. 3. He stands to win nearly $50,000. 

With Brady joining the Bucs, Tampa Bay now has better Super Bowl odds than New England. The Westgate moved the Bucs from + 4000 to + 1400 and dropped the Patriots from + 1400 to + 3000. 

Jeff Sherman of the Westgate told the Las Vegas Review-Journal "We didn't want to be too aggressive on them as long as Belichick is there... The year Brady was out they won 11 games with Matt Cassel. We trust more in Belichick's system than Brady at his age right now."

Circa Sports moved the Patriots win total from 9 (over -120) to 8.5 (even -110 both sides). Their odds to win the AFC dropped from + 625 to + 1200. The Patriots remain slight favorites to win the AFC East, falling from -278 to -125 at DraftKings. The Bills improve from + 325 to + 175. Jets move from + 1200 to + 900 and Dolphins move from + 1600 to + 1000. 

With Brady off the table and Teddy Bridgewater signing with the Panthers and Philip Rivers joining the Colts, the next big QB shoe to drop is Cam Newton. 

Here are the odds on Newton's next team at FanDuel

Chargers + 150

Bears + 175

Redskins + 350

Patriots + 500

Dolphins + 850

In other news, sports betting took two more big hits yesterday due to the Coronavirus. Nevada Governor Steve Sisolak ordered all nonessential business to close for 30 days, starting today. This includes shutting down casinos. It is believed to be the first time Vegas will be closed since the day after JFK was shot in 1963. 

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