Bookmakers share biggest 2021-22 NBA futures liabilities

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

USATSI_16955553

The NBA season starts on Tuesday, but the NBA betting season started a long time ago. Once futures odds get released, NBA sharps are looking for opportunities to strike. As the season gets closer, other NBA bettors and fans start to get their action in for the NBA Championship, player props and assorted futures.

The sportsbooks do end up with some exposure from the preseason betting markets, but can also spin those wagers into important information to get ready for the season. It becomes very clear early on that there are players and teams that bettors have high expectations for and the books can adjust accordingly, whether that means the game-to-game power ratings and spreads or the odds for the futures and props.

I checked in with a few different sportsbooks to see where the preseason NBA action came in and what they’ll be sweating as the season goes along.

Chris Andrews – South Point Sportsbook Director

On the NBA Championship: “Our biggest exposure on odds to win the NBA Championship is with the Los Angeles Lakers and the Atlanta Hawks. I took big bets on the Lakers + 350 and the Hawks at 30/1.”

Exposure on the LA teams is pretty standard across all of the sports with the proximity of Las Vegas to the City of Angels. The Lakers are up there as one of the favorites alongside the Brooklyn Nets.

On conference futures: “To win each conference, we got bet big on Brooklyn to win the East at + 150 before the recent Kyrie Irving developments. In the West, I took big bets on Phoenix at 9/1 and Portland at 30/1.”

The Suns, of course, were the representative from the Western Conference in last season’s NBA Finals, which finished up just about three months ago.

On season win totals: “We took bets larger than $10k on the Lakers Over 51.5, Bulls Over 42.5 and Timberwolves Over 33.5.”

Once again, that Lakers money shows up in the marketplace. We’ll have to see if LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook can manage to stay healthy and meet the lofty goals placed on the Lakers by the betting markets and the oddsmakers.

 

Rex Beyers – Westgate SuperBook Risk Manager

On futures in general: “A lot of our NBA [handle] on futures markets comes during the season because [Jeff] Sherman (VP of Risk Management) is always on top of it and customers know that.”

This is an interesting statement from Rex and serves as a good reminder to bettors that you can look for opportunities on futures throughout the course of the season and sometimes even get better numbers than what the preseason odds were.

On NBA Championship futures: “We get drowned to the Lakers, as of now. Shocking! We also lose money on the Nuggets and lose a little to the Bucks. ‘As of now’ being the key, since we write so much futures action during the season.”

That LA influence runs deep in the Vegas betting markets, that’s for sure. That being said, nobody behind the counter that I spoke to talked about any exposure on the Clippers, who will be without Kawhi Leonard as he recovers from a torn ACL.

On conference futures: “We get beat up by the Jazz in the West. We win to everybody else, as of now. Celtics would be the worst result in the East.”

The Jazz had the best record in the Western Conference regular season last year, but came up a little short in the playoffs with a hobbled Donovan Mitchell. The Celtics would have to overcome the Nets, Bucks and 76ers in the Eastern Conference, but the price is very attractive.

On player futures: “We lose a new car on Jalen Green Rookie of the Year as of now. Luka has gotten most of the MVP write.”

A new car, you say? Like a nice car? A Geo? A Ferrari?

“The car costs less than you probably make in a year, so it’s not that nice.”

Luka Doncic is the NBA MVP favorite across the board. Jalen Green is also the favorite for Rookie of the Year. 

 

Jeffrey Benson – Circa Sportsbook Operations Manager

On NBA Championship futures: “Our biggest exposure is on the Bucks and Lakers. People also love the Mavs and the Suns.”

The Lakers. Again.

On player futures: “For awards, we have the most exposure on Giannis and James Harden to win MVP.”

A lot of Luka money at the SuperBook and the other favorites taking on money at Circa. Obviously Harden’s usage will increase if the Nets opt not to allow Irving to play, so we could see other books pick up some exposure leading up to tip-off or throughout the season.

back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.

Headlines

View All
  • reynolds

    Hero World Challenge best bets

    While the official PGA Tour season is on pause until January, an elite field of 20 players gathers this week for the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas....
  • finocchiaro

    Best bets for Font-Aldo UFC card

    After a week off for Thanksgiving, the UFC heads into its last three productions of 2021 starting with Saturday’s UFC Fight Night from the Apex...
  • USATSI_17242641

    Peterson: Best bet for Nebraska vs. NC State

    The Big Ten/ACC Challenge will be decided on Wednesday and NC State will look to both help its profile, and also that of the ACC, as the Wolfpack...
  • vontobelnfl

    NFL Week 12 lessons learned

    It was an emotional week for me in the NFL, as the Indianapolis Colts’ failed cover cost me a share of the first-place prize in the Westgate SuperContest...
  • vontobelnba

    Three NBA trends to watch

    It was a somewhat quiet week in the NBA with the league taking a night off for Thanksgiving, but there is still plenty to discuss. This week we touch...
  • macneil

    Hockey bettors must beat closing line

    In the end, wins and losses are really all that matters, because every sports bettor’s goal is to make money. However, wins and losses don’t...
  • appelbaum

    Five NFL games wise guys like

    NFL underdogs continued to grind out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 ATS. Dogs are now 101-77 ATS (57 percent) on the season. A $100 bettor taking every...
  • hill

    NFL capsules for Week 13

    Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints The Dallas Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) visit the New Orleans Saints (5-6 SU and ATS) on Thursday night as both...
  • moore

    Let's re-examine Gonzaga wagers

    Those predictions we heard about this college basketball season being filled with upsets and uncertainty? Well, they seem to be pretty accurate just a...
  • makinennfl

    Simulating rest of NFL season

    (To view the charts associated with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) All NFL teams have either five or six games left in their 2021-22...
  • tuley

    Tuley's Takes on NFL Week 13 card

    NFL Week 12 was a rough roller-coaster here in the Tuley’s Takes home office and for a lot of bettors. Thanksgiving weekend actually started great...
  • burkecbb

    CBB schedule strength key for bettors

    Another week of college basketball is in the books, and we have some bigger sample sizes to consider now. Most teams have still played only about one-fifth...

custom-banner-3
VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!

VSiN+ FREE TRIAL

  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store
Close