This is an important week for my own ratings and projections in Point Spread Weekly. With all NFL teams having played three games and most college teams having played three or four, this is when I turn the page to using data exclusively from this season. Over the last few weeks, the numbers I have presented have been a series of adjustments based on how teams have played this season as compared with last. Even so, the results have been pretty sound.
What does this mean for readers of PSW? Well, you should notice some significant changes in the strength ratings charts for both college and pro football. That is besides the addition of full FCS ratings to the college chart. For instance, you will notice that Georgia has made a big leap all the way to the top in Effective Strength Ratings. You will notice a similar jump for the Rams in the NFL. For the rest of the season, you can assume all the data is based on results from the 2021 season.
With that in mind, this is always a great time of the year to point out the significant changes we have seen in teams from last season to this season. I will be doing that here. The lesson: It’s fully time to flip the page and forget about anything you saw in 2020. This list of changes should give you a better snapshot of which teams least resemble their predecessors.
College Football Ratings and Effective Stat Changes