Betting Splits and Sharp Money Picks for Tuesday's MLB All Star Game

July 11, 2023 03:54 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Tuesday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSIN Betting Splits

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Tuesday's MLB All Star game...


8 p.m. ET: National League at American League (-110, 7.5)

The Midsummer Classic will be played at T-Mobile Stadium, home of the Seattle Mariners. The American League hands the ball to righty Gerrit Cole (9-2, 2.85 ERA) while the National League counters with righty Zac Gallen (11-3, 3.04 ERA). This exhibition line opened with the American League listed as high as a -120 home favorite and the National League a +105 road dog. We've seen the line move away from the American League (-120 to -110) and toward the National League (+105 to -105). Essentially, we are seeing this game trend toward a pick'em after opening the American League a slight favorite. Reading between the lines, this signals smart money backing the road dog National League. The National League is receiving 63% of bets and 70% of money, indicating slight public support but also heavy sharp action. 

The American League has dominated the All Star game in recent years, going 9-0 in the last nine matchups and 21-4 in the last 25 matchups. However, the AL will be without two of its biggest stars as Mike Trout and Aaron Judge are both injured. The NL has held the edge in Interleague play this season, going 217-193 (53%). 

The total opened at 7.5 and the public is hammering the over. However, despite 72% of bets going over, the total has remained frozen at 7.5. In fact, the under 7.5 is being heavily juiced to -120, signaling a possible fall down to 7. This signals smart money taking the under plus the hook. The under is receiving 28% of bets but 47% of money, a notable sharp contrarian bet discrepancy. The under is 12-1-2 in the last 15 matchups. The under tends to be a smart bet due to the format of the game, with pitchers only going one inning and bettors never getting in the groove by seeing the same pitcher twice. The forecast calls for low 70s with 5 MPH winds blowing in from left center. T-Mobile Stadium is also known as a pitcher-friendly park. The Ballpark Factor, which ranks the best offensive stadiums, is just 93. The average MLB stadium is 100. 

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