Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday May 28

May 28, 2023 03:31 AM


Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday's MLB slate.


1:35 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles (-145, 9) 

The Rangers (33-18) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning the opener 12-2 as +120 road dogs and then winning again on Saturday 5-3 as -105 road dogs. In this early afternoon series finale, Texas starts lefty Cody Bradford (0-1, 10.80 ERA) and the Orioles (33-19) counter with righty Kyle Bradish (2-1, 4.34 ERA). This line opened with Baltimore listed as a -125 home favorite and Texas a +115 road dog. Sharps have gotten down on the Orioles to avoid the sweep, steaming Baltimore up from -125 to -145. The Orioles are receiving 60% of bets but nearly 70% of money, signaling slight public support but also heavy sharp action. AL East teams playing non AL East opponents are 110-61 (64%) this season. Baltimore is 19-5 as a favorite , 14-17 against lefties and 15-10 at home. Pros are also leaning under as the total is 9 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible fall down to 8.5. The under is only receiving 30% of bets, providing notable contrarian value. The forecast calls for low 70s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing in from right center. 


2:10 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (-130, 8.5) at Milwaukee Brewers

The Giants (27-25) have won the first three games of this four-game series. San Francisco took the opener 5-0 as -135 road favorites, won 15-1 on Friday as +130 road dogs and then won again on Saturday 3-1 as -105 road dogs. In this afternoon's series finale, the Giants send out righty Alex Cobb (4-1, 2.17 ERA) and the Brewers (27-25) tap fellow righty Colin Rea (1-3, 4.71 ERA). This line opened with the Giants listed as a -140 road favorite and the Brewers a +120 home dog. Currently 66% of bets are laying the chalk with the Giants to complete the sweep. However, despite receiving a majority of bets, we've seen San Francisco fall from -140 to -130. This signals smart money grabbing the Brewers at home, dropping Milwaukee from +120 to +110. May home dogs are 73-69 (51%) this month, producing +19 units won with a 13% ROI. San Francisco is just 11-12 as a favorite and 18-19 against righties. Wiseguys are also expecting a lower scoring game as the total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible fall down to 8. 

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Sharp Money: If you like an underdog of under a field goal, it is worth looking at the moneyline. Because of the plus price you don't have to win as many over time and it's closer to a coin flip than people think. View more tips.

Brad Powers: Ohio ST (-3) at Notre Dame, Saturday. View more picks.