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Betting preview for Wednesday's NBA games

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It’s a massive slate and I had hosting duties this morning, so let’s just get to a quick adaptation of our game notes. Our normal piece will be up tomorrow.

Updated injury reports can be found here.

Updated odds on every game can be found here.

*Indicates second leg of a back-to-back

Miami Heat (-1.5, 216) at Indiana Pacers

This a pretty big revenge spot for Miami which dropped both games against Indiana in a two-game series 10 days ago. The Heat were popped for 1.218 points per 100 possession, getting blown out 137-110 in the first meeting. They’ll be focused, but are they good enough? Miami is still pretty poor on offense, averaging more than 1.1 point per possession just three times in the last 10 games. It’s a great spot for Miami, but don’t know if they’re trustworthy.

Portland Trail Blazers (-6.5, 220.5) at Detroit Pistons

Wayne Ellington is doubtful to play, but this Pistons team continues to show that the market underestimates them. Detroit is now 8-4 ATS in March with a perfectly average -0.6 net rating. They are on statistically on par with teams like Portland and better than Miami over the last 30 days, but are priced like teams such as Oklahoma City. That Trail Blazer team is now in town but have new additions to the lineup in Jusuf Nurkic and Norm Powell. How much better is this team with two great offensive pieces now part of the equation? My initial thought is that this number is too high, but the change in Portland’s offense gets me out of this one.

 

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