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Betting preview for Wednesday's NBA games


With 4:44 left in the fourth quarter, Donovan Mitchell inbounded the ball from under the Boston Celtics basket to Rudy Gobert. The two ran a quick hand-off play, which gave Mitchell enough space to hit a 3-point shot, extending Utah’s lead to seven points. On the next possession, Mitchell attacked in transition, taking three Boston defenders with him to the elbow, and turned to find Joe Ingles along the wing for another 3-point make to give Utah yet another seven-point lead. It was an incredible stretch for Mitchell, and part of a fourth quarter in which he dominated for Utah.

Mitchell either scored or assisted on the Jazz’s final 17 points on Tuesday night, finishing with 36 points on 12-of-23 shooting with nine assists. According to ESPN’s Tim MacMahon, Mitchell is averaging 37.5 points and 8.7 assists per game in his last four games at point guard. He is arguably the best player on a team with a league-best 20-5 record this season. At what point do we see a push for Mitchell to win the MVP award?

As of this morning, multiple books like BetMGM, DraftKings and FanDuel, still listed Mitchell as a 100-to-1 choice to win the award. However, we have seen the market shift at other shops. The Westgate SuperBook moved his odds Wednesday morning to 80-to-1 and then 60-to-1 after Utah’s win over Boston. Mitchell has a lot to overcome to win the award, but the tide is starting to change and bettors who are interested should grab those triple-digit tickets when they can. 

Here are my daily NBA game notes for Wednesday, Feb. 10:

Note: * indicates that team is on second leg of a back-to-back.

Updated injury reports can be found here.

Updated odds for every game can be found here.

Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets* (-2, 234.5)

Keep an eye on the injury report here. Brooklyn is on the second leg of a back-to-back tonight, losing to Detroit on Tuesday evening. Kyrie Irving is dealing with a finger injury on his right hand that caused him to miss the game in Philadelphia on Saturday. Steve Nash told the media that Irving should be able to play through it, and the loss to the Pistons could help push him back on to the floor, but monitor this situation today.

In any case, we’re approaching a low point here for Brooklyn’s market power rating -- and rightfully so. The Nets are now 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season, and 7-6 SU/4-9 ATS since acquiring James Harden. They are third in offensive rating (119.2) in those 13 games, but still have been out-scored by 0.2 points every 100 possessions due to the 29th-ranked defense over that stretch (119.4). Last night, the 24th-ranked Pistons offense averaged 1.25 points per possession, destroying the Nets at the rim by shooting 25-of-33. Brooklyn has no defensive presence inside, and frustrations boiled over yesterday when Harden was caught on camera berating DeAndre Jordan for his lackadaisical defense.

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