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Betting preview for Sunday's NBA games

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It is a big day! The regular season finale is here, so there is no need for a grand introduction. Below you will find game notes along with playoff scenarios for each game. 

Good luck!

Updated odds for every game can be found here.

Updated injury reports for every game can be found here.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back.

The Main Event

Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors (-5, 229.5)

Both teams enter this contest on winning streaks, but the betting market has severely overvalued one of these two franchises. Memphis is riding a five-game winning streak and 6-1 SU run, but over those seven games they are just 3-4 ATS. Meanwhile, Golden State is on its own five-game winning streak, but unlike Memphis, they are 7-1 SU and ATS in their previous eight games. Memphis has been highly respected by the market all season long, but this line today shows a real improvement in Golden State’s power rating. When these two met for a two-game series in March, the Warriors closed as 6.5-point underdogs in both meetings. Today, they open as five-point favorites at home. 

The Warriors defended the Grizzlies extremely well in those two games despite splitting the pair of contests. Memphis managed just 1.019 points per possession and shot 31% on 58 3-point attempts. They will need to improve on those figures to grab a win on the road against Golden State. That is easier said than done, as the Warriors have the second-best defensive rating in the league (103.9) over this eight-game streak, allowing opponents to shoot just 53.9% at the rim and 31.2% from the perimeter. Memphis has shot the fourth-best rate at the rim over their seven-game run, so this will be a battle of strength-on-strength that could dictate the winner of this contest.

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