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Betting preview for NBA Finals Game 6

USATSI_16419422

In the four NBA Finals games prior to Saturday night, there was no discernable edge to be found between Milwaukee and Phoenix. However, after a Game 5 win at Footprint Arena, there is an edge in this series in favor of Milwaukee, and it is not just a 3-2 lead.

The Bucks have outscored the Suns by 10.9 points per 100 possessions over the course of their three-game winning streak, and the once-staunch Phoenix defense is struggling to find answers in a series it is now one game away from losing.

There are many areas in which Milwaukee has thrived these past three games, but it is hard to look past what this team has done in transition since the series went to Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are killing the worst transition defense in the NBA by averaging 1.58 points per play and they have added 7.4 points per 100 possessions on offense through transition play alone. Specifically, Milwaukee has thrived off missed shots by Phoenix.

According to Cleaning The Glass, the Bucks are averaging 1.591 points per play in transition off of live-ball rebounds. For context, the league leader in the regular season (Utah) put up 1.332 points per play off live rebounds and 1.338 in transition. Milwaukee is simply crushing Phoenix on the fast break, and this is not an advantage that is going away anytime soon.

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