Last night was a great lesson for bettors when it comes to perception.
Charlotte went into its meeting with Brooklyn riding high on a 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS run, but the Hornets were smacked down 111-89 in a loss that was never close. Meanwhile, Orlando took its young, rag-tag group to New Orleans where the short-handed Pelicans were 5.5-point favorites despite missing Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram and Lonzo Ball. Lo and behold, the Magic won and covered their fourth straight contest since the trade deadline.
The market’s perception of Charlotte created a number that was too short given the quality of competition it was facing in Brooklyn. On the other hand, the inflated perception of New Orleans, alongside the poor rating of Orlando, caused a number much too high for a beat-up team. Perception burned the market last night, and when it comes to Orlando specifically, it will continue to do so until bettors realize this team is not as poor as they perceive it to be.
Updated odds for every game can be found here.
Updated injury reports for every game can be found here.
*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back
The Main Event
Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5, 237.5) at Portland Trail Blazers
Milwaukee capped off March with a win and cover against the Los Angeles Lakers, which snapped a 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS slide. Quietly, the Bucks have been in relatively poor form the past month, posting a 9-4 SU/4-9 ATS record with a + 3.0 net rating over the past 31 days. It is pretty clear the betting market is too high on this team, and now they enter into a matchup that could present some problems for their struggling perimeter defense.