For the rest of the season VSiN.com will be a must for those who handicap the NBA on a daily basis. I’ll be posting write ups for every single game on the card with betting trends, analysis and much more. As I settle into my new role as an NBA Analyst you can expect even more work on the association, but make sure you drop in every morning for a preview of the day’s games.
Note: * indicates team is on second leg of a back-to-back
Monday, Jan. 25
Charlotte Hornets* at Orlando Magic*
The Orlando fade continued on Sunday when the Magic blew a 14-point lead to the Hornets and lost 107-104 at home. The Magic now 2-7 ATS in their last nine games, and over those nine games they have the worst offensive rating in the league (101.6). It does not look like the offensive issues will subside anytime soon, either.
Evan Fournier being back on the floor helps. According to Cleaning The Glass, the Magic are averaging 1.161 points per possession when he’s on the floor. However, there are two problems with that. One, despite the fantastic offensive rating, their net rating with Fournier on the floor is 0.0 due to how poor they are on defense. The other is that when he is off the floor they have no other scorers outside of Nikola Vucevic, as Orlando averages just 1.025 points per possession without Fournier.
The offensive issue reared its ugly head in the fourth quarter on Sunday when the Magic managed just 0.818 points per possession while allowing 1.435 per possession, leading to a 33-18 final quarter for Charlotte and a blown lead for Orlando.
The thing to follow here will be the number. The Magic’s power rating has been odd; it’s as if they’ve been getting priced like they were last year’s team, and that just is not the case. Sunday they actually opened as the 1.5-point favorite before closing as the 2-point underdog. Expect the Hornets to open as the slight favorite here, which they should be. If they don’t, expect the line to get there by close.
- Orlando is 1-8 SU | 2-7 ATS in its last nine games.
- Charlotte is 2-2 SU | 3-1 ATS on zero days of rest.
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Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons
There might not be much to take away from Philadelphia’s 114-110 win over Detroit on Saturday. The 76ers were on the second leg of a back-to-back, having just finished a two-game series with their division rival Celtics. Even so, Philadelphia held Detroit to just 1.049 points per possession, and built up an 11-point lead in the fourth quarter before coasting to a win (even though the 76ers failed to cover).