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Best Week 11 NFL survivor picks

By Adam Burke  ( 

November 21, 2021 07:23 AM

Week 10 featured a Geoffrey Chaucer moment for a lot of contestants in survivor pools around the globe. That includes me, as my survivor entry in Point Spread Weekly is no longer perfect. The first use of the idiom “All good things must come to an end” is attributed to Chaucer, though he wasn’t talking about survivor entries in 1374.

The Ravens and Steelers were very popular picks last week that went down in flames, as Baltimore lost Thursday night and Pittsburgh tied the lowly Lions on Sunday. There was some bad luck in there, as Ben Roethlisberger tested positive for COVID-19 on Saturday after most contest deadlines, but perfection sometimes requires being on the right side of luck. Being on the wrong side can result in exactly what we saw.

While I avoided the AFC North minefield last week, I did not avoid defeat, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost to the Washington Football Team. It was a risk taking a team off the bye, given that those teams are now 5-11 ATS and many of the good offenses have struggled, but the injury report wound up worse than I expected for a team on extra rest and Tom Brady had a rare bad game.

The survivor article will continue and now I’ll wipe the slate clean and make all 32 teams available. The plan was to play it out for real until a loss, and that time has come. The official picks are 9-1 and the “Games to Consider” are 24-11, as I’ll consider Pittsburgh a loss with last week’s tie.


New England Patriots (-6.5) over Atlanta Falcons

The positive vibes about the Falcons ended abruptly last week with a 43-3 beatdown by the Cowboys. Atlanta had been playing pretty well and Matt Ryan seemed to be settling in nicely with the Arthur Smith offense as the weeks went by, but all that went up in smoke last weekend.

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