Best value bets for PGA's Houston Open


Brian Gay made nine birdies in his final 14 holes and won on the PGA Tour for the first time in nearly eight years in a playoff over Wyndham Clark last weekend at the Bermuda Championship. This was Gay’s fifth career PGA win, and he accomplished the feat as a 200-1 shot. Gay, 48, joined 47-year-old Stewart Cink as elder statesmen to win on the PGA Tour this fall, as Cink did so in September at the Safeway Open. Gay had missed 14 of 18 cuts in 2020 coming into Bermuda and had made only two of 11 cuts since the restart in June. Although he did not come in on stellar form, Gay’s last top-5 finish came at the 2019 Bermuda Championship, tying for third. Now he will be a full member of the PGA Tour until he turns 50 and heads to the PGA Tour Champions while also earning an invite to the 2021 Masters, in which he has not played since 2013. If you believe Gay can go back-to-back, you will find the same 200-1 price on him this week.


The PGA Tour returns stateside for a stop at the Vivint Houston Open, the last event before the Masters. World No. 1 Dustin Johnson (8-1) had to withdraw from the CJ Cup and the Zozo Championship after testing positive for COVID-19, but he returns as the odds-on favorite in this field. Englishman Tyrrell Hatton (16-1) has a win at the European Tour’s BMW PGA Championship and a T-3 at Shadow Creek in the CJ Cup within the last 30 days and is ranked in the world’s top 10 for the first time in his career. Tony Finau has not finished worse than 15th in seven of his last nine events, including three top-5s and five top-10s, and he joins Hideki Matsuyama at 20-1. Brooks Koepka, also 20-1, returned three weeks ago at the CJ Cup after nine weeks off due to injuries. Koepka also served as a player consultant for the redesign of the Memorial Park Golf Course, which is the Houston Open’s new venue. Three players are priced at 25-1: Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland, who finished 1-2 in the 2019-20 PGA Tour Rookie of the Year voting, and Russell Henley, who won the 2017 Houston Open at the Golf Club of Houston and comes in with scorching form, having posted two top-5s and four top-10s in his last six events. Adam Scott has played only four times since the restart but won this event in 2007 and is priced at 30-1 along with Sungjae Im. Lanto Griffin is the defending champion (tipped as a winner here in “PSW” last fall) and is slotted at 50-1. 

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