Best Thursday Night Football bets: Packers-Cardinals

By VSiN Staff  (VSiN.com) 

USATSI_17022201

It's another big Thursday Night Football game, this time between the Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals.

We've got a market report on the game from South Point director Chris Andrews and best bets from Adam Burke and Dave Tuley as Week 8 kicks off.

Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals (-6.5, 50.5)

Market report from Chris Andrews: Before all of Green Bay’s COVID-19 news broke, I opened Arizona -3.5. Sharps bet it up to -4. I’ve told you in the past to pay attention to lines that immediately move away from the key numbers of 3 and 7. If sharps liked the Packers, they would have taken + 3.5 right away. I was doing decent two-way business at Arizona -4. Then, star receiver Davante Adams was ruled out. We went straight to Arizona -6. Wednesday morning, Allen Lazard was also put on the COVID-19 list. We had been taking bets on Arizona -6 as it was, so I moved to Arizona -6.5.

As I write this, I’m seeing some 7’s pop up. That could mean the South Point will be at Arizona -7 by kickoff. I’ll need to take more Cardinals bets before lifting the line to a key number. My Over/Under opened 53. Sharp bets and COVID-19 news dropped that all the way to 50.5. The public almost always bets the Over in prime-time TV games. My tickets are already 5-1 to the Over even though most of the money is on Under. I can assure you oddsmakers all over the country will be monitoring additional COVID-19 news for this game from now until kickoff. 

Tuley: This is a great Thursday night matchup with the undefeated Cardinals (7-0) hosting the Packers (6-1). The Cardinals were -3 on the advance line last week, which increased to -3.5 after Arizona routed the Texans 31-5 on Sunday while the Packers beat Washington 24-10. Then it was announced Monday that Adams was going into COVID-19 protocol and the line spiked to -6. I’m sure the conventional wisdom, especially among recreational bettors who might not even know the line was lower, will be “you have to take Aaron Rodgers plus the points.” But I’m not so sure.

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