Best Thursday Night Football bets: Bucs-Eagles

By VSiN Staff  (VSiN.com) 

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It's another big Thursday Night Football game, this time between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Philadelphia Eagles.

We've got a market report on the game from South Point director Chris Andrews and best bets from Adam Burke, Wes Reynolds and Matt Youmans as Week 6 kicks off.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7, 52.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Market report from Chris Andrews: Sharps are taking the Eagles, but my midweek ticket count was 5-1 in favor of Tampa Bay. A lot of action early in the week for a Thursday nightery, since money typically waits until game day. This game will have a very high handle by kickoff. I have a feeling I’m going to end up at 6.5. The market is trending downward even with all the public action on the favorite.

Tampa Bay is a popular choice in teasers. There aren’t a lot of great options Sunday, so teaser lovers are using Tampa Bay as much as possible. Reminds me of Tampa Bay/New England two weeks ago when the public was all over Tom Brady and the Bucs as road favorites in a prime-time game. Sportsbooks were positioned the other way rooting for the dog. It’s true that Philadelphia’s defense allowed a lot of points to Dallas and Kansas City, but Tom Brady is dealing with a thumb injury. My total opened 52. An accumulation of public bets on the Over has lifted it to 52.5. No sharp buyback yet. 

Youmans: It’s difficult to find negative trends that relate to Brady, but he has not been great on the road in his brief time with the Buccaneers. In 10 regular-season road starts, Brady is 4-6 ATS, including 0-2 this season. All four of the Bucs’ road covers in 2020 came against bad teams (Broncos, Lions, Panthers, Raiders). I expect the Eagles, who were competitive in home losses to the Chiefs and 49ers, to be live dogs in this spot.

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