Scottie Scheffler held a five-stroke lead overnight on Friday. He expanded to a seven-stroke lead making the turn into Saturday's back nine; by the conclusion of Saturday's round, Scheffler's lead has been cut to three. The World No. 1 carded bogeys on three of his last five holes while Cameron Smith, who was recommended at 14-1 in-play last night, shot two-under on the back side to finish at -6 and just three shots back of the leader.
Here is the current leaderboard after 54 holes at The Masters:
|
1.
|
Scheffler
|
-9
|
-225
|
|
2.
|
Smith
|
-6
|
+ 275
|
|
3.
|
Im
|
-4
|
14-1
|
|
4.
|
Lowry
|
-2
|
60-1
|
|
4.
|
Schwartzel
|
-2
|
150-1
|
|
6.
|
Thomas
|
-1
|
75-1
|
|
6.
|
Conners
|
-1
|
180-1
|
|
8.
|
Willett
|
E
|
150-1
|
|
9.
|
Fleetwood
|
+ 1
|
1500-1
|
|
9.
|
Kokrak
|
+ 1
|
2000-1
|
|
9.
|
McIlroy
|
+ 1
|
500-1
|
|
9.
|
Morikawa
|
+ 1
|
600-1
|
|
9.
|
D. Johnson
|
+ 1
|
400-1
|
Note: Prices courtesy of DraftKings.
Obviously, there are few options to fade the leader if you want to cash an in-play outright winner. We have some good equity with Smith at 14-1 from Friday as he is now around 1/5th of that price. Lowry (50-1), Thomas (14-1) and McIlroy (20-1) were on my pre-tournament outrights card, but they are distant long shots to win the green jacket at this point.
The "Winner without Scheffler" market could be a place to attack from a wagering standpoint if you do not already have exposure in the futures markets (Smith leads that market at -220). If you want to swerve from the Australian favorite in this market, Justin Thomas at 14-1, Rory McIlroy at 50-1, or Tommy Fleetwood at 100-1 look to be the most potentially lucrative to have a low round tomorrow.
The easiest way to have action for Sunday's final round is likely the head-to-head matchup markets. Here a couple that are of interest to me: