I love to study data, build betting systems and capitalize on the findings. I look for specific line ranges, types of games and the point in the season in which games were played as the foundation for these strategies. The opening week of the college football season presents interesting matchups every year, and the prices set by oddsmakers can give bettors valuable insight as to how the experts are evaluating the games.
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It’s typically believed that the bookmakers are the ones in the know and that they set their lines for specific reasons. In turn, those lines are bet heavily by the professionals, who put an equal amount of work into prepping for the season. You would think that by following the lead of these two groups, all bettors should be able to take advantage. I believe that studying the results of games against the lines does that.
So I set out to find any relatively simple systems or concepts on which bettors can capitalize in the opening weeks of the college football season — Week 0 and Week 1, or the next two weekends on the slate. These systems are in addition to the college football stability system plays I will release for the full Week 1 board in next week’s Point Spread Weekly, though I discuss one game for Week 0 at the end of this report.
After studying games from Weeks 0 and 1 for the last eight seasons, I came up with five betting concepts you might want to consider as you break down the games.
Huge favorites of 37.5 points or more have been automatic in the opening weeks since 2013, going 7-0 SU and ATS.