This weekend's EPL Betcast looks a terrific match when high-flying Tottenham host Manchester City at the Tottenham Stadium, Saturday 12:30 ET.
The run of unders in Betcast matches was ended in our last live broadcast in the Chelsea v. Sheffield United match just before the international break and I am expecting goals again on Saturday in a match between two of the best offensive sides in the EPL.
Tottenham boast arguably the best front three in the division with Harry Kane, Son Heung-min and Gareth Bale, while City have the best player in the division midfield maestro Kevin De Bruyne in their ranks alongside Raheem Sterling, another huge attacking threat.
Of the two teams I would say Tottenham are much more solid defensively but they are missing a couple of key defenders, which should enhance the likelihood of goals.
In the last 10 years in the Premier League in this fixture it has been a level split of five matches cashing on over 2.5 goals and five matches going under, but certainly in these unprecedented times and goals on the increase in the EPL I will be playing both over 2.5 goals in the match at -162 with William Hill and the “yes” on both teams to score, which is available at -175.
Tottenham have been the much better side a quarter of the way into the new season and many people I have spoken to about this match believe that they represent great value at 3-1, but despite City's below-par performances they had a huge boost earlier this week after manager Pep Guardiola put pen to paper and signed a new contract that will keep him at the Ethiad until 2023. I can see a much better performance from the visitors, which they desperately need, and if I was looking to get with Spurs in any capacity I would look to take them 0.5 at around 105, which would cash the ticket on both a Tottenham win and a draw.
If you are looking for a little bit of pizza money in a match that is very even with two sides whose strengths are in their offense rather than their defense, then a couple of small plays to get some pizza money on the match to end as a "desmond" 2-2 at 14/1 and to finish in a 3-3 classic at 40/1 are worthy of a small interest.
BEST OF THE REST
ASTON VILLA have been the biggest improvers in the EPL so far this season and they look on the large side at 125 with William Hill to beat Brighton on Saturday, 10 a.m. ET.
Villa put in a great performance in a 3-0 win at Arsenal just before the international break in their last start and they also put seven on past champions Liverpool earlier in the season, but sandwiched between those excellent wins they have lost their last two home matches -- and that is a slight concern.
Brighton, however, are in total freefall without a win since September (a run now of seven winless matches) and are sliding down the table fast and with a lot of players injured or suspended for this trip to Villa Park they look opposable.