This Saturday we will be bringing you live betting commentary from the Etihad Stadium where EPL leaders Manchester City host Tottenham with kick-off 12:30 p.m. ET. While I am sorry to say this, I am looking at the unders to cash again.
City come into this match on an amazing 15-match winning run and five points clear at the top of the Premier League standings. I am not at all surprised to see them as the heavy favorites for yet another win, but there are lots of reasons to overlook them on the betting markets at as low -350 with some bookies.
Pep Guardiloa's side have a mini-injury crisis ahead of the weekend with Sergio Aguero and Kevin De Bruyne on the sidelines and key defender Ruben Dias a major doubt. If they are to play without the Portugese defender (who has been City's best player this season), then that will see some support for Tottenham (+ 850 to get a surprise win). City have some huge matches coming up in a very quick space of time (EPL matches at Everton and Arsenal as well as a massive Champions League two-legged last 16 clash against German's Borussia Moenchengladbach), and with all the games piling up it wouldn't be a shock to see key personnel rested on Saturday.
Tottenham beat City earlier in the season at the Tottenham Stadium 3-0 (they are 100-11 to repeat that scoreline) and they took four points of their opponents in the two matches last season, but the timing of this match is far from ideal for Jose Mourinho's side.
Spurs have just one win in their last five, which coincided with the return of their captain and top goalscorer Harry Kane, but Kane isn't at 100 percent. You can get away with 75 percent fitness levels at home to West Brom but not at City. Another concern is Kane and his team came through a grueling 5-4 overtime loss in midweek at Everton in the FA Cup, and to facing the league leaders a few days after such a long, exhausting match is a disadvantage.
City are so far clear at the top of the table that they can rest players and ease through to another title in the final third of the season. I think they will just edge this one, but I couldn't bet -350 on the match winner market so instead I am going to do what you should do in every BetCast: Bet the under 2.5 goal line which is available at a nice price of + 130.
One player who will start for Manchester City on Saturday is in-form midfielder Phil Foden who is playing in a more advanced position with Aguero and De Bruyne still on the treatment table. I like Foden to score in this match and at + 162 and I will be having a small wager on the England international to find the back of the net. I also like City to win 2-0, which looks good at + 600.
One man who is surprisingly in the betting odds to score in this match is Man City goalkeeper Ederson. City's only problem, in what has been a perfect season so far is their dire record from penalty kicks with De Bryune, Raheem Sterling, Gabriel Jesus and Ilkay Gundogan all missing penalties this season. Guardiola hinted in his pre-match press conference that keeper Ederson in training was the best PK taker in the squad and he was contemplating putting the Brazilian on spot kicks in this match, which has seen bookies run for cover and install him as a low at + 400 to score at anytime on Saturday.